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Bias-up target already met. – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-up target already met.

Weak-handed sponsorship puts in a rally during noon hour illiquidity.

[pay]es_050911_noon.gifThe noon hour’s entry immediately probed this afternoon’s 1341.00 bias-up signal. Its 1346.00 bias-up target has been met already.

In fact, the move up developed without dipping down to any pullback limit. And that includes its 1336.75 origin, its 1338.75 buy signal, and the 1340.50-1341.00 bias-up signals. The rally is testing its first pullback limit at 1345.00.

These extended, un-refueled patterns don’t end well. And they do end. But the interim could include more impatient buying. Back above 1345.75 would suggest the rally was resuming, next targeting 1351.75 and 1353.50.

Beware a fresh high up to 1347.25 whose RSIs diverged negatively. Limiting the impatient buying to the noon hour would be doubly bearish. Fresh high, or not, back under 1342.50 would signal momentum reversing down. Confirmation under 1340.50-1341.00, especially through 1:30, would target fresh session lows.

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