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Daily Spot – Page 99 – If, Then… Market Timing

Daily Spot

Daily Spot…

A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.

Eurodollar Jun Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Tuesday’s surge to new highs was unlikely to reverse anytime soon, as confirmed by extending higher overnight and Wednesday. A top is still unlikely to be evident soon, but potential of backing-and-filling can’t be dismissed.

Gold Jun Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
Political instability triggered an overnight surge that filled an outstanding gap above before Wednesday’s open. Extending higher post-open tested “higher prior lows” at 1253.00, with the next higher potential being 1261.50.

Silver Jul Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Breaking higher overnight still had difficulty at 16.75 Wednesday, but maintained potential for testing 17.09, so long as 16.75 isn’t broken as support.

30-year Treasury Jun Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Political instability and sliding stocks triggered a second consecutive session to rally Wednesday, of blowout proportions, confirming the bottoming pattern that was first signaled on Friday. Breaking above both 151-22 and 152-00 reversed momentum up and extended substantially to 153-26. Pullbacks must hold 152-27 to avoid reversing down.

Crude Oil Jun Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
The reaction to Wednesday’s EIA report bounced back up to the 48.90-49.30 range’s upper-end, largely ignoring the turmoil in other markets.

Natural Gas Jun Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Wednesday extended the prior two days of selling by extending under the original 3.21 sell signal, down to 3.16 where the original sell signal’s breaks had run into support. Considering the degree of the interim bounce, there’s no bullish reason to have retraced.

Daily Spot…

A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.

Eurodollar Jun Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Rallying significantly overnight easily probed above the gap back to last Friday’s close and the rally’s original 1.1025 target. Friday’s 1.0920 buy signal has already fulfilled its requirement for at least a third higher close. Topping from a new high’s gap up is unlikely.

Gold Jun Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
Tuesday was Gold’s turn to outperform, probing above Monday’s highs and above the upper-end of the 1228.00-1236.00 range. Back under 1228.00 would resume the decline.

Silver Jul Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Tuesday’s shallow gap up remained within Monday’s range, which had trended down intraday from gapping up. Breaking under Monday’s low would launch the next downleg.

30-year Treasury Jun Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Initial weakness Tuesday was reversed up sharply through 151-22 to 152-00, whose recoveries through the close would make a recovery increasingly likely to be underway.

Crude Oil Jun Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
Ranging narrowly Tuesday between 48.90-49.30 avoided immediately rejecting Monday’s extension of the rally, which suggests the pattern intends to probe higher again, but not necessarily that Wednesday’s EIA is being greeted from a position of strength.

Natural Gas Jun Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Gapping down Tuesday probed under the 3.29 sell signal, which would target fresh lows under 3.11. Bouncing first remains possible, potentially to more thoroughly test the rally’s 3.42-3.45 target.

Daily Spot…

A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.

Eurodollar Jun Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Friday’s trigger of the 1.0920 buy signal was extended higher overnight and through Monday morning, already attacking its minimum objective to fill the gap back up to 1.1010. A second consecutive higher close would also require an eventual third, making the original 1.1025 target’s retest likely, too.

Gold Jun Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
Firming further overnight to the bounce’s highest levels tested the 1228.00-1236.00 range’s upper-end. The balance of the session drifted back down to its lower-end. Closing lower Tuesday would suggest the 1206.00-1211.00 target is in-play.

Silver Jul Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Sunday night extended the rally considerably, probing slilghtly higher Monday morning to test the original 16.75 sell signal that had put into play 15.95 which remains outstanding below 16.40.

30-year Treasury Jun Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Overnight choppiness remains in proximity to trigger the 151-22 inflection point, preferably also recovering 152-00 to help confirm a bigger bounce underway.

Crude Oil Jun Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
Sharply higher highs Sunday night probed the rally’s 48.85 target, up to 49.66, ranging Monday around 49.30 resistance. That had been confirmation to the prior rally leg, so recovering it again would be challenging while a gap remains outstanding at the low.

Natural Gas Jun Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Sunday night’s gap down from the rally’s 3.42-3.45 target area responded appropriately to the area’s vulnerability. Monday didn’t extend the gap down, but neither was it recovered. A second consecutive lower close Tuesday is needed to confirm fresh lows under 3.11 are in-play.

Daily Spot…

A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.

Eurodollar Jun Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Surging at Friday’s open triggered the 1.0920 buy signal, which was extended intraday. A second consecutive higher close would confirm the gap back to the prior Friday’s close and probably also a retest of 1.1025 is underway.

Gold Jun Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
The bounce extended Friday, probing temporarily into the 1228.00-1236.00 range. Closing within it would all but ensure testing its upper-end. Otherwise, another downdraft to the 1206.11-1211.00 target is imminent.

Silver Jul Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Extending higher overnight tested prior highs that had preceded the recent break lower. Closing any higher Monday would all but invalidate the attraction to 15.95, at least in the near-term.

30-year Treasury Jun Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Bouncing Friday morning through 151-02 touched the decline’s original 151-22 target. Closing any higher would signal momentum reversing up, but backing-and-filling first wouldn’t be surprising in even the most bullish scenario.

Crude Oil Jun Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
Ranging narrowly Friday didn’t extend to the 48.85 target, but also didn’t reject the 47.65 recovery. There’s no assurance of actually extending the rally until closing above 48.85.

Natural Gas Jun Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Friday morning extended the rally up to the lower-end of the 3.42-3.45 target area. There is potential to one more higher close, but no higher so long as 3.45 holds as resistance.

Daily Spot…

A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.

Eurodollar Jun Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Initially dipping at Thursday’s open had barely touched the 1.0865 pullback potential before reversing up into positive territory. The dip wasn’t deep, so reversing wasn’t any great feat. It’s more relevant for having neutralize the potential attraction. Still closing above 1.0920 is needed to signal a retest of 1.1025 underway.

Gold Jun Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
Another overnight bounce probed Tuesday night’s high,but without reacting down through Thursday morning. This undermines the momentum of Tuesday’s breakdown, and allows for a bigger bounce to retest the upper-end of 1228.00-1236.00, but the gap outstanding to Monday’s close will require being filled.

Silver Jul Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
A bigger bounce Thursday than before Wednesday’s open was not rejected Thursday. The 15.95 target remains outstanding, regardless. But its test can be delayed if not already back in-play Friday morning.

30-year Treasury Jun Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Probing a fresh low overnight was recovered at least to fluctuate around Tuesday and Wednesday’s closes. The fresh low close keeps intact the ongoing series of lower lows and lower highs, needing to recover 151-02 to even begin signaling momentum reversing up.

Crude Oil Jun Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
.Gapping up slightly Thursday eventually extended to fresh highs at 48.22, now capable of extending the rally so long as 47.65 holds as support. Otherwise, backing-and-filling would be likely.

Natural Gas Jun Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Already gapping up ahead of Thursday’s EIA report reacted favorably, probing above Wednesday’s high. Unless rejected immediately Friday, the next higher objective is 3.42-3.45.