Bigger Picture
Pre-market Tour… Pay them now, or pay them later.
Consolidation off of the 1992.00 overnight high is still ranging several points either way around 1986.00. Resuming the rally post-open without delay would be credible for extending to fresh highs at 1996.00. A corrective dip is unlikely, but would likely recover this afternoon since the overnight rally — no matter how large — doesn’t qualify as rewarding yesterday afternoon’s buyers. Details and other markets coverage were discussed during the pre-market Tour recorded here:
https://roddavid10.mitel-nhwc.com/join/tyfpcxk
Daily Spot… Stocks steal the show
A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.
Eurodollar Sep Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Firming Tuesday didn’t quite exploit last week’s failed breakout, but almost any initial strength Tuesday night or Wednesday would be credible for extending higher intraday.
Gold Dec Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
The pullback had extended slightly lower to test 1115.00, which was retested Tuesday without breaking lower. Back above 1125.70 would suggest the pullback had ended — it was touched Tuesday but not pierced.
Silver Dec Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Weekend weakness still avoided filling the outstanding opening gap at 14.35 that presumably has been inhibiting a recovery from launching. But that may be left outstanding by a rally leg if not being filled soon.
30-year Treasury Dec Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Friday’s sudden pop above a multi-session range had never extended higher intraday, and it held tests of its 155-16 buy signal. Gapping down Tuesday back toward the prior range all but ensures probing under it to fresh lows before another bounce would be credible for extending higher.
Crude Oil Oct Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
Holiday weakness never touched the prior low, or probed under it to threaten reversing down. There is no required timing for retesting the recent high and probing above 50.00.
Natural Gas Oct Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Firming off of the lower-end of the recent narrow range only attacked the upper-end. That restrained optimism isn’t new, but it still makes credible any early strength Wednesday for extending higher.
Look ahead: Economic Calendar – for Wed Sep 9 2015
A midday look ahead in preparation for economic reports and events scheduled for the next trading day.
Highlights: Wednesday’s JOLTS report has become as reliably influential to price action as the prior week’s Employment Situation report, itself. But there isn’t any other report to leverage a reaction.
MBA Mortgage Applications
7:00 AM ET
Redbook
8:55 AM ET
*JOLTS
10:00 AM ET
Quarterly Services Survey
10:00 AM ET
4-Week Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
*10-Yr Note Auction
1:00 PM ET
Pre-market Tour
The pre-market Tour is presented live in the chaRTroom at 8:55am ET. The link to its recording is sent when available, with a summary of the opening strategy…
The overnight rally to 1961.00 has reacted down to 1950.00. Post-open action still needs to recover 1956.50 for optimal confirmation that the upward momentum remains intact, and to allow for extending the rally to 1967.25 next.Trying to recover 1956.50 too much past the open would be much less credible, and failing to hold 1952.00 would start to suggest a deeper reaction down underway to 1944.00.
More details and other markets coverage are in the pre-market Tour recording here:
https://roddavid10.mitel-nhwc.com/join/mjzmrvc
Look ahead: Economic Calendar – for Tue Sep 8 2015
A midday look ahead in preparation for economic reports and events scheduled for the next trading day.
Highlights: Tuesday’s calendar is busy, but nothing much is high-profile, let alone with any track record of influencing price action.
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
6:00 AM ET
Gallup US Consumer Spending Measure
8:30 AM ET
Labor Market Conditions Index
10:00 AM ET
3-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
6-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
TD Ameritrade IMX
12:30 PM ET
3-Yr Note Auction
1:00 PM ET
Consumer Credit
3:00 PM ET
