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Bigger Picture – Page 521 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bigger Picture

Livestock 11/10/2014

Monday”s Livestock discussed the crossroads where the Marijuana sector currently stands. Between tax loss selling pressures subsiding, and election results reactions being absorbed, many stocks continue to be in downtrends.

I compared charts of some of those ongoing downtrends to charts of stocks that might have bottomed already and are now pulling back to support. TAUG, ATTBF and FITX, vs. EDXC, ERBB, and TRTC. Which would you rather be chasing?

We also discussed non-Marijuana stocks like TKMR,NLNK, NFLX and AAPL, and I listed several of the stocks to be included in this week”s January Effect candidate report.

Enjoy!

Livestock starts at 10:45am ET.

Livestock starts at 10:45am ET. Login info:
(iPads and Tablets use the accompanying teleconference info to get audio.)

https://roddavid10.mitel-nhwc.com/join/pcxsrhm

optional teleconference instructions (required for iPad and tablets):
1-605-562-0020
Meeting ID 976-912-682 #
Other requirements can be found here:
http://marketfy.com/product/stock-technical-trade-alerts/blog/1143/view/60141/

Good morning! Will it, or

Good morning! Will it, or won”t it. That”s the rhetorical question of the day. The “it” is a variable, and could refer to the marijuana sector”s post-election drops, or to the pre-election rallies. And the will refers to extending.

Today”s price action could be decisive in determining whether the rallies will resume, or if the reactions down will retest recent lows. Ranging sideways in most issues isn”t really an option.

Join me for Livestock at 10:45 AM ET to review charts in the marijuana sector and beyond. I”ll send a reminder as that time approaches.

The Universe, week of November 10 2014

Note: I publish “The Universe” every weekend, updating my support and resistance calculations for Marijuana sector stocks. It is not a projection, but a handy reference… Non-Marijuana stocks are covered elsewhere during the week.]

Links to || Last week”s Universe || Prior week”s Universe || Previous week”s Universe ||

Marijuana Stock Technical Trader”s Universe for November 10, 2014
Reference this table during stock reactions
4-week # up: 25 26.32%
trends* # flat: 21 22.11%
# down: 49 51.58%
*The percentages of stocks rising or falling over 4 weeks.
symbol support resistance 4-week trend
ACAN n/a n/a down
ACGX 0.000 0.003 down
AERO 4.130 5.070 up
AGTK 0.100 0.158 flat
AMMJ 0.500 1.070 down
ANYI 0.003 0.007 down
ARNA 3.750 4.610 up
ATTBF 0.135 0.217 down
AVTC 1.350 1.800 down
BLOZF n/a n/a down
BLPG 0.350 0.760 flat
BNRDF n/a n/a up
BRDT 0.094 0.165 down
CALB n/a n/a up
CANL 0.960 1.500 down
CANN 2.560 5.050 down
CANV 2.400 5.550 up
CARA 7.810 10.840 flat
CBDS 6.980 10.170 down
CBGI 0.005 0.035 down
CBIS 0.072 0.098 up
CHUM n/a n/a down
CNAB 0.663 1.187 down
CTCO 0.235 0.640 down
CYBK 0.005 0.015 down
DEWM 0.000 0.003 flat
DIGP 0.050 0.240 down
DSCR 0.002 0.003 up
EAPH 0.011 0.020 up
EDXC 0.031 0.077 up
EGRVD n/a n/a n/a
ENDO 0.023 0.040 up
ENRT 0.048 0.100 up
ERBB 0.014 0.019 flat
EXMT 0.000 0.004 flat
FITX 0.007 0.023 down
FRTD n/a 0.008 flat
FSPM 0.090 0.450 down
FULL 5.300 6.300 flat
GBLX 0.525 1.000 flat
GRCU 0.006 0.011 down
GRNH 0.141 0.311 up
GWPH 67.150 78.050 down
HEMP 0.040 0.052 up
ICBU 0.013 0.035 down
IGRW 0.000 0.017 down
IMLFF 0.151 0.268 down
INSY 34.700 44.500 up
ITNS 0.006 0.012 flat
LATF 0.001 0.003 down
LXRP 0.034 0.096 down
MCIG 0.215 0.299 flat
MDBX 9.010 12.000 up
MDCN 0.219 1.020 down
MDRM 0.024 0.060 down
MINE 0.004 0.006 down
MJMD 0.030 0.180 down
MJMJ 0.020 0.499 down
MJNA 0.132 0.217 up
MJNE n/a n/a down
MNTR 0.660 1.767 flat
MYEC 0.030 0.044 up
MYHI 0.100 0.530 down
NRTI 0.001 0.048 down
NTRR 0.159 0.340 up
NVLX 0.215 0.290 up
OGRMF n/a n/a down
OSLH tc 0.070 up
PAUFF n/a n/a down
PHOT 0.019 0.065 flat
PLPL 0.330 0.490 up
PZOO 0.002 0.050 flat
QEDN 0.001 0.007 down
REDG 0.001 0.003 flat
RFMK 0.000 0.002 flat
RSSFF 0.260 0.510 flat
SING 0.011 0.017 flat
SKTO n/a 0.004 flat
SPRWF 0.380 0.487 up
SRNA 0.029 0.099 down
STEV 0.079 0.120 flat
TAUG 0.012 0.020 down
TRTC 0.280 0.465 up
TURV 0.650 0.88 down
TWMJF 1.800 2.510 up
UPOT 0.600 1.310 flat
USEI 0.000 0.003 down
UTRM 0.000 0.000 down
VAPE 0.970 1.430 down
VAPR 0.041 0.110 down
VGPR 0.000 0.002 down
VPCO 1.330 2.620 up
VPOR 0.008 0.022 down
VRCI 0.000 0.009 down
XTRM 0.000 0.006 down
XXII 2.012 2.556 down
ZDPY n/a n/a n/a

So. ATTBF is testing my

So. ATTBF is testing my longstanding target, and showing it the same respect that was paid to my longstanding FITX target. In short, not much. Let me take a moment to repeat the past month”s advice: Don”t bottom-fish this sector yet. I would buy strength where it develops, like bouncing above a prior high. But fresh lows can be very dangerous right now.

Following is a compilation of my posts including answers to stock chart analysis requests on the Activity Feed”s previous thread. Post questions to this new thread about any last-minute positioning guidance ahead of the weekend. Enjoy!

NBS — Testing long-term support at or around $5, and wouldn”t be surprised at this leg extending to 4.33
TKMR — Yesterday”s bounce off the lows is being followed by this morning”s gap up. It”s still premature to pronounce this being a bottom, let alone that momentum is reversing up, but the action is identifying a bottoming area.
CELG — No new price action has affected the pattern or its parameters
CLR — 49.77 was a big support level to test intraday and to close back above. Today”s follow-through is bullish if not rejected by the close.
FXI — Needs to hold 38.55 as support to maintain the current recovery attempt. The attempt is coming from a Symmetrical Triangle, a pattern that tends initially to break falsely in one direction before reversing more substantially in the opposite direction. So, too deep of a pullback would simply resume the decline
BTU volume seems fine. PBR trying to bottom. Even RIG looks compelling, despite its pre-open reaction down
FITX — I”m adjusting support in this weekend”s The Universe to zero.
MCIG — Two bullish developments at its low (fulfilling the decline”s .17 and reacting up immediately) and that first upleg”s correction (holding .18-.19), now need a third (closing above .28). It wold be helpful for pullbacks to hold .22 meanwhile
TCS — This is not a bottoming pattern
INVN — I would assume tax loss selling pressure this time of year are a contributing factor, but wouldn”t think that”s all of it. In any case, that”s not a bottoming pattern
ATTBF — Still not buying weakness in this sector at this time. I”ll certainly be interested in price action that develops from the longstanding .17 target”s test. Anyone wanting to “take a stab” at catching a falling knife might use that .17 info as guidance. For further guidance, refer to the price action that followed FITX reaching my longstanding .02 target