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Bias-parameters – Page 1019 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-parameters

Morning bias

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THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 711.50 710’50
…would target 721.75 721’00
Bias-down: under 699.75 699’00
…would target 694 693’00
Signal status: waiting for trigger FAQ

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Afternoon bias

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WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 716.50 715’50
…would target 720.75 720’00
Bias-down: under 709.75 709’00
…would target 699.00 698’00
Signal status: waiting for trigger FAQ

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Bias-up absorbing sellers, but at what cost.

[pay]703’00 was recovered at an accelerated pace, and it was enough to probe yesterday’s 709’50 high up to 710’50. RSI had already diverged negatively upon testing the 708’00 bias-up target, so the repeated infraction at the high called for n even greater penalty: a dip targeting as low as 699’25.The target was met, defining the morning range’s lower-end.

The 708’00 bias-up target is being retested now, and this is a bias-up environment. But the target already held one test through 10:15 to avoid renewing the bias-up signal, so its retest now isn’t likely to extend higher.

Back under 704’00 would signal momentum reversing down again, probably late enough to coincide with the bias-up signal lapsing so trending can reverse down. Waiting until then to try breaking above 708’00 would give it a better chance of succeeding.

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Morning bias

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WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 697.25 696’00
…would target 709 708’00
Bias-down: under 688 687’00
…would target 681.50 680’25
Signal status: waiting for trigger FAQ

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Afternoon bias

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TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 699.50 698’50
…would target 704.75 704’00
Bias-down: under 694 693’25
…would target 686.25 685’25
Signal status: waiting for trigger FAQ

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