Bias-parameters
All biased-up and nowhere to go.
Bias-up target met and held.
This morning”s last buy signal at 1965.25 had already met its 1973.00 target, probing it up to 1977.75. A pullback down to 1968.25 allowed 1973.00 to become a buy signal, and it was triggered before noon. Advancing into the bias timing window fulfilled the 1986.00 bias-up target.
Exceeding it at 1:20 would have renewed the bias-up signal, next targeting 1996.00. Fresh highs by 1:30 would have been credible for extending higher to 1996.00. Lacking either of those setups, it”s still a bias-up environment. Fresh highs can be probed.
While a retest of the high is likely, beware its rejection and reaction down into the bias environment lapsing at 2:30. That can get carried away to the downside.
Otherwise, the rally isn”t required to extend any higher today, but the door remains open — whether during the bias-up environment or after it, so long as pullbacks haven”t begun trending down.
Afternoon bias
| THU afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) | SPX | ES |
| Bias-up: above | 1979.25 | 1976.00 |
| …would target | 1989.25 | 1986.00 |
| Bias-down: under | 1968.75 | 1965.50 |
| …would target | 1959.75 | 1956.50 |
| Signal status: BIAS-UP, BIAS-UP TARGET MET | FAQ | |
| INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2 | ||
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the bias environment”s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don”t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it”s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.
Morning bias
| THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) | SPX | ES |
| Bias-up: above | 1952.25 | 1948.50 |
| …would target | 1960.25 | 1956.50 |
| Bias-down: under | 1935.75 | 1932.00 |
| …would target | 1924.75 | 1921.00 |
| Signal status: BIAS-UP, BIAS-UP TARGET EXCEEDED | FAQ | |
| INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2 | ||
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the bias environment”s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don”t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it”s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.
Afternoon bias
| WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) | SPX | ES |
| Bias-up: above | 1908.75 | 1905.00 |
| …would target | 1916.75 | 1913.00 |
| Bias-down: under | 1885.00 | 1881.25 |
| …would target | 1878.00 | 1874.25 |
| Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL | FAQ | |
| INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2 | ||
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the bias environment”s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don”t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it”s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.
Morning bias
| WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) | SPX | ES |
| Bias-up: above | 1884.50 | 1880.75 |
| …would target | 1895.50 | 1891.75 |
| Bias-down: under | 1866.25 | 1862.50 |
| …would target | 1854.00 | 1850.25 |
| Signal status: waiting for trigger | FAQ | |
| INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2 | ||
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the bias environment”s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don”t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it”s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.
