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Bias-parameters – Page 403 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-parameters

Afternoon bias

WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 2091.00 2085.00
…would target 2096.00 2090.00
Bias-down: under 2080.50 2074.50
…would target 2075.75 2069.75
Signal status: LATE BIAS-DOWN FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the bias environment”s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don”t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it”s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

Post-open review… Bias-down renewed, but not recharged.

Pre-open optimism ambushed by post-open plunge.

Pre-open ranging around the 2089.75 bias-up signal didn”t make it any likelier to trigger. Exceeding 2092.75 through 9:45 would have been helpful. Indeed, the open”s surge probed it by 1 point.

But it wasn”t yet 9:45. By then, quickly reversing under 2090.00 had triggered a sell signal that extended down to 2076.25.

The 2075.50 bias-down signal was probed by 5 points, and not recovered by 10:15, renewing the bias-down signal. The renewed bias-down target at 2069.75 is in-play.

A bounce has now extended up to the 2080.50 bias-down signal. It is resistance, and back under 2076.25 would target the low”s retest, and the 2069.75 renewed bias-down target. Exiting the bias environment at 2080.50 would negate the renewed target.

Morning bias

WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 2095.75 2089.75
…would target 2100.00 2094.00
Bias-down: under 2086.50 2080.50
…would target 2081.50 2075.50
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET EXCEEDED FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the bias environment”s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don”t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it”s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

Afternoon bias


TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 2104.75 2098.50
…would target 2109.50 2103.50
Bias-down: under 2096.00 2090.00
…would target 2090.75 2084.50
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the bias environment”s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don”t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it”s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

Morning bias

TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 2116.75 2110.75
…would target 2122.50 2116.50
Bias-down: under 2109.50 2103.50
…would target 2104.00 2098.00
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET MET FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the bias environment”s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don”t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it”s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.