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Bias-parameters – Page 594 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-parameters

Morning bias

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TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1490.75 1488.75
…would target 1497.00 1495.25
Bias-down: under 1483.75 1482.00
…would target 1477.50 1475.50
Signal status: BIAS-UP, BIAS-UP TARGET MET FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Afternoon bias

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MON afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1517.50 1515.50
…would target 1522.75 1520.75
Bias-down: under 1507.25 1505.25
…would target 1500.75 1498.75
Signal status: NO-BIAS FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Morning bias

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MON morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1517.25 1515.50
…would target 1522.50 1520.75
Bias-down: under 1510.25 1508.50
…would target 1503.25 1501.50
Signal status: BIAS-UP TARGET STILL BEING TESTED FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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All biased-up and nowhere to go.

Suspicious bias-up signal clings life.

[pay]1512.00 had been touched before the 1509.25 bias-up signal triggered at 1:20. The reaction down from 1512.00 actually touched 1509.25 at 1:30, almost invalidating the signal.

The intervening hour has ranged sideways. First, 1512.00 was attacked to within 2 ticks, and then 1509.25 was probed by 2 ticks. Extending any further either way would have signaled trending underway.

Now the bias environment is lapsing, and 1509.25 is still being tested. Only testing it does not qualify for rejecting it. Any signal that is cleanly triggered can be rejected only cleanly.

That having been said, a break under 1508.75 would get a benefit of the doubt for intending to trend down under this morning’s lows. Otherwise, entering the final hour without yet breaking lower should be attracted up to the 1515.50 bias-up target.

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Afternoon bias

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FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1511.00 1509.25
…would target 1517.25 1515.50
Bias-down: under 1506.00 1504.25
…would target 1499.25 1497.50
Signal status: BIAS-UP FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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