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Bias-parameters – Page 717 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-parameters

Afternoon bias

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THU afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1248.75 1242.50
…would target 1255.25 1249.00
Bias-down: under 1230.25 1236.50
…would target 1236.25 1230.00
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Morning Bias

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THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1265.00 1259.25
…would target 1270.00 1264.25
Bias-down: under 1257.50 1251.75
…would target 1251.00 1246.25
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET EXCEEDED FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Afternoon bias

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WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1254.75 1254.25
…would target 1260.00 1259.50
Bias-down: under 1250.75 1250.25
…would target 1243.50 1243.00
Signal status: BIAS-UP FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Morning bias

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WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1260.00 1259.50
…would target 1267.25 1267.00
Bias-down: under 1254.25 1254.00
…would target 1248.75 1248.25
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET MET FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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No-bias, no trending.

Repeatedly returning to unchanged really puts a damper on things.

[pay]This afternoon’s 1257.50 bias-up signal was still being tested within 3 minutes of the 1:20 timing window, invoking the 10-minute grace period. It was recovered up to 1259.00 by 1:30, to signal “late bias-up.”

Its 1262.75 bias-up target is in-play, and 1262.75 would become “unfinished business above” if the bias environment were exited at 2:30 above 1257.50. But a “late” bias signal is more vulnerable to exiting the bias environment back under its signal, which would invalidate 1262.75.

Back under 1256.25 would start to suggest the late bias-up had failed. Meanwhile, potential for fresh afternoon highs and fresh session highs depends a lot upon resuming the rally without further delay.

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