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Bias-parameters – Page 790 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-parameters

Morning bias

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FRI morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1336.25 1332.25
…would target 1342.50 1338.50
Bias-down: under 1330.00 1326.00
…would target 1323.75 1319.75
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Afternoon bias

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THU afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1335.25 1331.25
…would target 1342.00 1338.00
Bias-down: under 1329.00 1325.00
…would target 1323.75 1319.75
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Morning bias

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THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1338.25 1334.25
…would target 1343.00 1339.00
Bias-down: under 1331.75 1327.75
…would target 1323.75 1319.75
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Afternoon Bias

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WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1336.25 1332.25
…would target 1342.00 1338.00
Bias-down: under 1329.75 1325.75
…would target 1321.25 1317.25
Signal status: NO-BIAS FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Bias-up benefit of the doubt?

The benefits seem light when the doubt is heavy.

[pay]es_040611_am.gifThis morning’s bias-up environment is lapsing, and its 1331.00 bias-up signal is being probed as support. Not recovering it by noon would invalidate its 1338.00 bias-up target.

Bias-up environments normally trend up. But the signal’s purpose is to identify whether buyers or sellers are in control. Occasionally, the bias environment may be dominated by selling. The bias-up signal identifies that selling as weak-handed, and likely to be absorbed by stronger hands.

Yesterday afternoon’s bias-up fulfilled this purpose – eventually. This morning’s bias-up should fulfill this purpose, too, especially if the noon hour were entered back above the 1331.00 bias-up signal. RSIs are diverging positively on a downleg currently in-play.

Since no upleg this morning fulfilled the behavior of a valid upleg – being a fairly straight shot up to fresh session highs and perhaps also to 1338.00 – that should still define the next valid upleg. Otherwise, the downleg currently in-play is next targeting 1324.50.

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