Notice: Function _load_textdomain_just_in_time was called incorrectly. Translation loading for the disable-gutenberg domain was triggered too early. This is usually an indicator for some code in the plugin or theme running too early. Translations should be loaded at the init action or later. Please see Debugging in WordPress for more information. (This message was added in version 6.7.0.) in /home4/jwl23/public_html/rd.johnlander.me/wp-includes/functions.php on line 6131
Daily Spot… – If, Then… Market Timing

Daily Spot…

A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.

Eurodollar Jun Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Testing the 1.1485 sell signal overnight and again Wednesday morning was held both times, suggesting an intraday test of the rally’s 1.1600 target will print before a durable decline develops.

Gold Jun Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
Probing under the 1286.00 pullback limit could be absorbed by closing the same session back above 1289.00. At least overlapping 1286.00 through the close would undermine the downside momentum, keeping alive the attraction up to 1313.50. But a second consecutive close under 1286.00 would instead trigger a deeper pullback first, although probing fresh highs would still be likely to fail.

Silver Jul Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Barely managing to close back at or above the 17.50 pullback limit Tuesday still needed to resolve Wednesday morning in rally mode to prove the pullback had ended. Instead, it extended lower. Now a close above 17.50 is required before signaling the pullback has ended.

30-year Treasury Jun Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Ranging choppily around Tuesday’s 164-10 high did not reject the trending that is targeting 165-06. But it also created a pattern whose bearish resolution is likely to begin by gapping down. So, avoiding a gap down keeps in-play 165-06.

Crude Oil Jun Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
Tuesday’s probe under the 43.85 sell signal was likelier to be rejected than to extend down. But gapping up to the 44.50 buy signal proved too optimistic to withstand the morning’s EIA report. Its reaction back down to Tuesday’s 43.25 lows isn’t any likelier to extend down while unfinished business above remains outstanding at a new high close. but it is as vulnerable to break lower first.

Natural Gas Jun Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Rather than first dipping to fill the gap back down to Monday’s 2.03 close, Wednesday’s open gapped up to test 2.14 resistance. Like Tuesday’s gap up to 2.07, the balance of the session only ranged narrowly sideways. Filling the gap would help to clear the way for a durable rally, which would otherwise be signaled by closing above 2.22. Thursday’s EIA report is not being greeted from an optimal position of strength.