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Daily Spot… – If, Then… Market Timing

Daily Spot…

A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.

Eurodollar Jun Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Monday’s inside day wasn’t predictive, but it also didn’t challenge the ongoing pattern’s likelihood of producing at least a brief retest of last week’s high.

Gold Jun Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
The ongoing delay in rallying while having only barely touched the 1261.00 area resulted in fresh lows Monday down to 1255.00. Closing back above 1259.00 would signal the break lower had held, and that momentum was revering up. There is otherwise little more nearby support below.

Silver Jul Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Fresh lows into Monday’s open chipped away at 17.09 which must hold for the pullback to be defined as only a temporary correction. It was broken sharply intraday down to 16.81. Meanwhile, the Up/Down-crash setup has reached 11 consecutive sessions of closing lower, with one allowable exception. And reversing up would be temporary if not recovering 17.23.

30-year Treasury Jun Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Monday’s fresh low split the 2-tick difference between the long-standing target, fulfilling it down to 151-21. The bounce limit is now 152-08 to maintain the downside momentum. Otherwise, a recovery back up to 155-13 can begin to form.

Crude Oil Jun Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
The week began under pressure, probing under Friday’s lows, but not trending down or attacking Wednesday’s prior low. Closing above 50.00 would still signal a bottom is forming.

Natural Gas Jun Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Friday’s 3.30 high was pierced momentarily Sunday night. But slipping into Monday’s open was extended intraday to retest Thursday’s 3.21 low. At least one new low close under 3.12 remains outstanding.