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Daily Spot… – If, Then… Market Timing

Daily Spot…

A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.

Eurodollar Sep Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Resolving up through Thursday’s ECB events helped to confirm that Friday’s reaction down did hold its corrective limits, so that a new upleg is now underway.

Gold Dec Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
The holiday weekend’s attack on 1350.00 was likely to be retested, which the reaction to Thursday’s ECB events accomplished up to 1355.50. Closing back under Sunday night’s 1339.50 open or its 1337.50 low would signal the trend reversing back down.

Silver Dec Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Fresh highs testing 18.20 Thursday morning fulfilled any requirement for retesting the week’s earlier overnight highs. Having originated from a dip to 17.90 support, a second consecutive higher close Friday would confirm a very strong breakout.

30-year Treasury Dec Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Thursday’s break under 157-24 didn’t extend any deeper to its pullback objective under 156-00 before recovering the sell signal and probing new recovery highs attacking 158-00. Another dip under 157-24 (if not also under 157-16) would be bearish, but the trend otherwise remains up.

Crude Oil Oct Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
Thursday’s delayed EIA report didn’t trigger much volatility, as Tuesday’s confirmed breakout was maintained, still having room for a pullback down to 48.00 or even to “lower prior highs” at 47.25 without targeting new lows.

Natural Gas Oct Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
The 3.02 buy signal continued being tested both into and out of Thursday’s EIA report. It didn’t trigger, as Thursday dipped to fill the gap back to Wednesday’s close and neutralize its attraction below.