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Daily Spot… – If, Then… Market Timing

Daily Spot…

A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.

Eurodollar Jun Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Ranging narrowly around 1.1235 resistance overnight dipping Tuesday. But having completed a pullback that held 1.1200, the pattern remains vulnerable to almost literally exploding higher.

Gold Jun Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
Tuesday’s gap down came from a position of strength, since Monday’s post-open dip to 1278.00 had recovered into positive territory. Tuesday’s recovery probed above Monday’s highs, attacking Sunday night’s 1287.00 highs with no excuse not to trend higher.

Silver Jul Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Tuesday’s gap down to 14.81 and its immediate reversal up stopped short of filling the gap back to Monday’s 14.94 close, which was similar to Monday’s gap down. Both sessions were also inside days, biased-upward, which tends to resolve bearishly if not rejected by gapping up sharply.

30-year Treasury Jun Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Falling stocks once again triggered a flight-to-safety that gapped up to the recent intraday range’s upper-end at 148-06 and then extended to test the 148-24 recent overnight high as stocks fell further. Back under 147-24 and 147-14 would signal the trend reversing down, which should then develop aggressively.

Crude Oil Jun Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
Monday’s recovery reacted by trending down overnight to gap down Tuesday, and then dip deeper. Closing above 61.50 would suggest the dip had been absorbed, but under 60.50 would signal a new downleg underway. Wednesday’s EIA report is not being greeted from a position of strength.

Natural Gas Jun Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Gapping up slightly Tuesday and flat-to-higher ranging still stopped short of recovering the 2.56 buy signal, but at least creates potential to avoid greeting Thursday’s EIA report from a position of weakness.