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Hand grenades, horseshoes, and bias grace periods. – If, Then… Market Timing

Hand grenades, horseshoes, and bias grace periods.

Borderline bias-up is still a bias-up until proved otherwise..

[pay]The market formed a Rising Wedge while consolidating around the 1306.50 bias-up signal. Its lower-end stopped 1-2 ticks short of fulfilling its pullback potential to 1305.00. But the pattern resolved up, nonetheless.

Well, maybe a little less. The 1312.00 bias-up target has been attacked to within 2 ticks. Although 3-minute RSI became overbought at the high’s first instance, it left overbought on the most recent high’s bar. And 1-minute RSI did not become overbought.

1312.00 may yet be touched. Regardless, the pattern’s resolution is potentially very bearish. Being the product of a Rising Wedge in an uptrend, this higher high should plateau and then reverse down. Back under 1309.00 would rob buyers of their traction. Back under 1306.50 would signal momentum reversing down.

The next higher resistance is 1313.50. Recovering it would signal that this morning’s rally had barely begun, having potential up to 1338.00.

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