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Timing of bias objective could invite sellers. – If, Then… Market Timing

Timing of bias objective could invite sellers.

Poking the bear.

[pay]es_051911_am.gifThe 1336.00 bias-down signal has been tested, fulfilling the no-bias objective. It has been probed back down to the 1334.75 overnight lows, as the muted Jobless Claims reaction predicted.

There is no bullish reason for retracing so much. Dropping much earlier would have allowed more time to recover into the bias environment’s exit. But it will start lapsing in 15 minutes, so this much selling pressure is difficult to absorb.

Regardless, this morning’s action suggests that yesterday’s bounce ultimately held a test of the range’s upper-end. Unless proved otherwise by the close, expiration’s influence could be very bearish – back to Tuesday’s lows, and potentially lower.

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