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The Universe, week of February 22, 2016… – If, Then… Market Timing

The Universe, week of February 22, 2016…

[Note: I publish “The Universe” every weekend, updating my support and resistance calculations for Marijuana sector stocks. It is not a projection, but a handy reference… Non-Marijuana stocks are covered elsewhere during the week.]

Last week I noted several observations of accumulation in the sector, if not of recent price turns. Not yet broad enough or of long enough duration to call a trend change. But enough near-term strength to reach the cusp between being either the end of a corrective bounce, or else the start of something bigger.

And so I also noted that the latter scenario — the start of something bigger — required something bigger and bigger to develop without delay. The alternative would be vulnerable to snapping back downward, hard.

One anecdote didn’t make the distance from my notes to being published. This was an observation that even PHOT had been showing accumulative signs. The infamous stock was too controversial to be exemplary of my thesis, so I excluded it.

And then it surged, into news Thursday of its OTCBB relisting. Its accumulative signs weren’t noise.

To many, PHOT‘s travails were a bullet that deeply wounded the cannabis sector. The concerns and caution flags raised by its SEC pursuit made lesser warnings elsewhere seem larger. A revival by PHOT would have no direct bearing on the sector’s future, but it could be a poetic end to a chapter in its past.

Meanwhile, the percentage of stocks above their 4-week moving averages improved further. While I can repeat last week’s observation, I must also repeat last week’s warning — that the improvement cannot yet afford to hesitate, unless it is only a temporary corrective bounce preparing to resolve down sharply.

Marijuana Stock Universe for February 22, 2016
Reference this table during stock reactions
4-week # up: 8 9.64%
trends* # flat: 20 24.10%
# down: 55 66.27%
*The percentages of stocks rising or falling over 4 weeks.
symbol support resistance 4-week trend
AERO 0.830 1.260 flat
AGTK 0.003 0.007 flat
AMMJ 0.070 0.160 flat
ARNA 0.950 1.650 down
ATTBF 0.035 0.075 flat
BLOZF 0.087 0.163 down
BLPG 0.015 0.086 down
BRDT 0.012 0.031 flat
BTFL 0.002 0.005 down
CAFS 0.001 0.004 down
CANL 0.053 0.290 down
CANN 0.350 0.550 flat
CANV 0.110 0.215 down
CARA 5.350 9.090 down
CBDS 0.070 0.600 down
CBIS 0.005 0.017 down
CGRW 0.360 0.610 flat
CHUM n/a n/a down
CNAB 0.150 0.330 down
DEWM 0.002 0.004 flat
DIGP 0.120 0.220 down
DSCR 0.000 0.025 down
EAPH 0.004 0.009 flat
EDXC 0.007 0.019 down
ENCC n/a n/a down
ENDO 0.005 0.009 down
ENRT 0.005 0.014 down
ERBB 0.001 0.003 down
ETST n/a n/a down
EXMT 0.000 0.004 down
FITX 0.004 0.006 up
FULL 2.050 2.520 down
FWDG 0.000 0.002 down
GBLX 0.117 0.205 down
GRNH 0.026 0.042 flat
GWPH 34.950 55.000 down
HEMP 0.010 0.040 down
ICBU 0.000 0.003 down
IGRW 0.000 0.002 down
IMLFF 0.110 0.180 flat
INCC 0.000 0.002 down
INSY 12.000 22.250 down
ITNS 0.001 0.005 up
KAYS 0.067 0.187 flat
LXRP 0.060 0.110 down
MCIG 0.023 0.040 flat
MDBX 0.006 0.051 down
MDRM 0.025 0.060 up
MINE 0.019 0.040 down
MJMJ 0.000 0.001 flat
MJNA 0.028 0.044 down
MNTR 0.220 0.036 down
MSRT 0.830 1.410 down
MYEC 0.008 0.012 down
MYHI 0.013 0.100 down
NMUS 0.450 1.070 flat
NTRR 1.120 1.800 flat
OGRMF 0.435 0.630 down
OXIS 0.470 2.650 down
PHOT 0.048 0.088 up
PLPL 0.026 0.069 down
PMCB 0.064 0.091 down
PNTV 0.002 0.005 up
PZOO 0.000 0.002 down
RMHB 0.014 0.033 down
RSSFF 0.030 0.100 down
SING 0.006 0.014 up
SPRWF 0.225 0.375 up
SRNA 0.052 0.087 flat
STEV 0.005 0.024 down
TAUG 0.001 0.004 down
TRTC 0.115 0.160 up
TURV 0.463 0.770 flat
TWMJF 1.800 2.400 flat
UPOT 0.010 0.050 down
VAPE 0.003 0.023 down
VAPR 0.000 0.020 down
VGPR 0.000 0.002 down
VHUB 0.025 0.048 down
VPCO 0.000 0.095 down
WOGI 0.001 0.004 down
XTRM 0.001 0.004 flat
XXII 0.089 1.395 down