Update 12/8 January Effect Candidates 2014/2015
AERO, ARNA, ATTBF, BTU, CALL, CARA CBIS, CDE, CLF, GBLX, GSK, NCT, OCN, PBR, RIG, SODA, WLT
Dec 1 January Effect update
linked here.
Nov 17 January Effect candidates introduction
linked here.
Oct 9 January Effect webinar
linked here.
If Crude Oil doesn”t stop printing fresh lows and if Precious Metals don”t start printing fresh highs, then stocks in their sector won”t be able to start rallying — no matter how much selling pressure that their patterns have fulfilled already. Exposure to an underlying market is always a wild card, and already flushing out selling pressure doesn”t make a stock any less vulnerable to reacting down in sympathy. But it does stretch the rubber band tighter so that if/when the negative influence reversed back up, then the rubber band can snap back more aggressively.
| . | support | resistance | stop | target | |
| AERO | Aerogrow International Inc. | 3.43 | 4.60 | 3.27 | 7.40 |
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12/8: Intraday dips throughout the week stopped short of testing resistance, and haven”t attacked resistance, but almost any early strength would be credible for extending higher intraday. Parameters unchanged. |
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| ARNA | Arena Pharaceuticals Inc. | 3.80 | 4.55 | 3.70 | 6.00 |
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12/8: The two-week old narrow sideways ranging persisted, avoiding tests of either support or resistance. Parameters unchanged. |
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| ATTBF | Abattis Bioceuticals Corp. | 0.155 | 0.202 | 0.145 | 0.335 |
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12/8: Returning to what had been .135 support managed to close above the adjusted .145 stop, but bottoming requires the test to be rejected without further delay by recovering sharply. Parameters unchanged. |
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| BTU | Peabody Energy Corp. | 8.80 | 9.80 | 8.35 | 16.25 |
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12/8: Initially dipping to 9.40 support didn”t hold through the close, but extending down to what would have been the 8.80 support did hold tests on the week”s last two days. Any rally on expanding volume would be credible for extending higher intraday. Lowered parameters. |
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| CALL | magicJack VocalTec Ltd. | 7.90 | 9.65 | 7.50 | 12.25 |
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12/8: Tests of 7.90 support held through the close, but volume didn”t expand as price only firmed. A valid bottom has little excuse to further delay rallying. Parameters unchanged. |
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| CARA | Cara Therapeutics Inc. | 9.55 | 10.20 | 9.35 | 15.75 |
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12/8: The week began by dipping, but not deeply enough to test 8.35 support before reversing up sharply and extending through last month”s highs to test 10.00 resistance. Raised parameters. |
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| CBIS | Cannabis Science, Inc. | 0.057 | 0.077 | 0.055 | 0.125 |
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12/8: Holding .057 support reacted up only modestly, albeit on expanding volume, but not to launch a rally. Valid basing has no excuse to further delay launching a recovery leg. Parameters unchanged. |
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| CDE | Coeur Mining, Inc. | 3.65 | 5.05 | 3.00 | 7.85 |
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12/8: Precious Metals mostly ranged sideways through the week, and miners didn”t deviate much from their underlying commodity”s behavior. Parameters unchanged. |
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| CLF | Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. | 8.80 | 12.10 | 8.00 | 16.20 |
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12/8: Still ranging between 8.80 support and the 8.00 stop is all but obligated to probe fresh lows. The pattern still suggests that a fresh low would be only temporary. Much depends on whether the underlying Crude Oil is bottoming, too. Parameters unchanged. |
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| GBLX | Growblox Sciences, Inc. | — | 0.56 | 0.47 | 1.43 |
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12/8: The decline has barely hesitated, as if hurrying to fulfill the pattern”s extended target to satisfy another round of selling from the same sponsorship — presumably tax loss selling pressures. Lowered parameters. |
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| GSK | GlaxoSmithKline plc | 45.45 | 46.35 | 45.25 | 50.60 |
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12/8: Closing above 46.35 and extending only slightly higher before dipping has held well above the pattern”s support. Raised parameters. |
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| NCT | Newcastle Investment Corp. | 4.55 | 5.05 | 4.45 | 6.20 |
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12/8: Sideways ranging has persisted, although volume began expanding into week”s end. Parameters unchanged. |
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| OCN | Ocwen Financial Corp. | 20.75 | 24.50 | 18.90 | 27.50 |
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12/8: Volume has contracted consderably as price drifted lower through the week, but only to attack support. Parameters unchanged. |
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| PBR | Petrobras | 9.35 | 10.85 | 9.15 | 13.35 |
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12/8: Greeting the week by gapping down to test the 9.15 stop was recovered briefly to the 9.35 support, resolving down to new lows into the weekend. Contracting volume suggests the leg is more likely only temporary noise in sympathy with the underlying Crude Oil commodity”s persistent weakness. |
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| RIG | Transocean Ltd. | — | — | — | — |
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12/8: Still trending down to new lows, and still substantially underperforming an already week sector, making parameters doubtful to be reinstated. |
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| SODA | SodaStream International Ltd. | 19.50 | 22.45 | 19.20 | 28.05 |
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12/8: The week began by dipping under 21.80 support to twice test what would have become the 20.60 stop. Fresh lows should be probed regardless of the pattern”s resolution, but probing fresh lows should be recovered quickly if the pattern is still only basing. Lowered parameters. |
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| WLT | Walter Energy, Inc. | — | 2.25 | 1.65 | 3.75 |
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12/8: Having ended the prior week reacting down from 3.35 resistance, the new week began by sliding sharply to 2.55 support the first day. The balance of the week doubled the slide. Any lower would require extending to new lows, but early strength would be credible for extending higher . Lowered parameters. |
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