Bigger Picture
Look ahead: Economic Calendar – for Mon Mar 7, 2016
A midday look ahead in preparation for economic reports and events scheduled for the next trading day.
Highlights: Monday’s busy calendar isn’t very influential to price action. But the afternoon’s Fed speaker is unusual timing that could exacerbate any reaction.
Gallup US Consumer Spending Measure
8:30 AM ET
Labor Market Conditions Index
10:00 AM ET
3-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
6-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
TD Ameritrade IMX
12:30 PM ET
*Stanley Fischer Speaks
2:30 PM ET
Consumer Credit
3:00 PM ET
Treasury STRIPS
3:00 PM ET
Daily Spot…
A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.
Eurodollar Mar Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Repeated testing of the decline’s 1.0865 support finally reacted up Thursday to trigger the 1.0900 buy signal targeting 1.1050.
Gold Apr Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
Surging through 1242.00 and then above 1248.00 Thursday was extended to test 1261.00, still targeting fresh highs up to 1265.00.
Silver May Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Extending its recent recovery Thursday tested the 15.15 buy signal whose recovery puts into play a test of the 15.70 gap above.
30-year Treasury Jun Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Wednesday failed to confirm Tuesday’s deep drop by ranging narrowly around 162-14, allowing Thursday’s surge to test 163-14 whose recovery would signal the drop had ended, and also 163-24 whose recovery would signal a new upleg underway. Both tests reacted down initially.
Crude Oil Apr Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
Probing slightly higher again Thursday above 35.00 still continued overlapping prior highs, leaving the door open to triggering the sell signal that was raised Wednesday to 33.00.
Natural Gas Apr Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Thursday’s EIA report wasn’t greeted from a position of strength. Fresh lows overnight Its favorable knee-jerk reaction to the news momentarily probed positive territory before dipping back down to test the open’s gap. That neutralizes the gap’s attraction below, and allows a recovery above 1.70 to seal a bottom.
Look ahead: Economic Calendar – for Fri Mar 4, 2016
A midday look ahead in preparation for economic reports and events scheduled for the next trading day.
Highlights: Friday’s pre-open monthly payrolls is often isolated as the only econ report. But Friday afternoon keeps the influential items active with the rig count and a Fed speaker.
*Employment Situation
8:30 AM ET
International Trade
8:30 AM ET
*Baker-Hughes Rig Count
1:00 PM ET
*Rob Kaplan Speaks
1:00 PM ET
Daily Spot…
A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.
Eurodollar Mar Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Still fluctuating Wednesday around the decline’s 1.0865 likely support, with potential for closing back above 1.0900 to target at least a corrective bounce to 1.1050.
Gold Apr Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
Bouncing Wednesday back to 1242.00 neither rejected it nor closed above it, so there’s still room up to 1249.00 before signaling a retest of prior highs up to 1265.00.
Silver May Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Firming Wednesday recovered back up to Tuesday morning’s highs, still needing to recover 15.15 to target 15.70.
30-year Treasury Jun Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Ranging narrowly Wednesday around 162-14 didn’t extend Tuesday’s drop to confirm it, but recovering 163-14 would still signal the decline had ended, and back above 163-24 would reverse momentum back up.
Crude Oil Apr Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
Fluctuating wildly around unchanged Wednesday did probe a fresh high that allows raising the sell signal 50 cents to 33.00. That doesn’t prevent breaking higher from the Symmetrical Triangle pattern that has formed, but the likelier resolution is still down.
Natural Gas Apr Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Tuesday’s late surge that never extended higher was retraced entirely overnight, but no changes were made to the pattern that would still trigger a rally above 1.80.
Look ahead: Economic Calendar – for Thu Mar 3, 2016
A midday look ahead in preparation for economic reports and events scheduled for the next trading day.
Highlights: Being payrolls week, Jobless Claims and a couple of other jobs reports have some potential to influence price action. And there being recent improvement in econ reports, Thursday’s several industrial reports should have greater influence over price action.
Challenger Job-Cut Report
7:30 AM ET
*Jobless Claims
8:30 AM ET
Productivity and Costs
8:30 AM ET
Gallup Good Jobs Rate
8:30 AM ET
PMI Services Index
9:45 AM ET
Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
9:45 AM ET
Factory Orders
10:00 AM ET
*ISM Non-Mfg Index
10:00 AM ET
EIA Natural Gas Report
10:30 AM ET
Fed Balance Sheet
4:30 PM ET
Money Supply
4:30 PM ET
