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Livestox today!
Did last week’s dive prevent new market highs? Did that dip start the next downleg? Is Gold or Crude Oil bottoming? Those questions will be addressed, in addition to January Effect and cannabis sector updates. You can request stock chart reviews, too!
Join us by 12:15pm ET…
Daily Spot…
A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.
Eurodollar Dec Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Without rejecting Tuesday’s gap up from the two prior days of firming, the 1.0750-1.0785 corrective target is in jeopardy. Tuesday’s high did peak upon filling the gap back to the 1.0995 close, giving Wednesday’s open a brief opportunity to resume the slide.
Gold Feb Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
Dipping into Tuesday’s open ended the day overlapping the 1074.00 pullback limit. Immediately recovering 1077.70 Wednesday would be credible for extending higher intraday.
Silver Mar Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Two consecutive closes at the 14.10 and 14.35 buy signals respectively still need an actual breakout close to confirm new sponsorship is being attracted to the recovery attempt.
30-year Treasury Jan Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Monday’s attack on the 157-04 buy signal was rejected more deeply Tuesday to attack the 154-30 reversal signal to within 3 ticks.
Crude Oil Feb Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
Monday’s “ineffectual pessimism” resolved up with little delay Tuesday, still needing a close above 36.75-36.90 resistance to signal a new rally leg underway.
Natural Gas Jan Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
The pullback from Monday’s negative divergences attacked its 1.85 pullback limit but didn’t trend down. The gap back to Monday’s close was filled, neutralizing its attraction above, so trending up anyway early Wednesday would be credible for extending higher intraday.
Look ahead: Economic Calendar – for Wed, Dec 23, 2015
A midday look ahead in preparation for economic reports and events scheduled for the next trading day.
Highlights: Wednesday’s Durable Goods is both high-profile and influential to price action. Home Sales might get a reaction if it is very contradictory to Tuesday’s two housing sector reports. The post-open Consumer Sentiment is usually reliable for triggering a reaction.
MBA Mortgage Applications
7:00 AM ET
*Durable Goods Orders
8:30 AM ET
Personal Income and Outlays
8:30 AM ET
New Home Sales
10:00 AM ET
*Consumer Sentiment
10:00 AM ET
EIA Petroleum Status Report
10:30 AM ET
2-Yr FRN Note Auction
11:30 AM ET
Daily Spot…
A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.
Eurodollar Dec Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
Monday’s firming extended Friday’s bounce back up to ~1.0950 higher prior lows. The decline should resume without further delay Tuesday if 1.0750-1.0785 remains in-play.
Gold Feb Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
Extending higher Sunday night extended through 1074.00 resistance Monday morning to attack 1081.50. Closing above 1077.70 would signal a new upleg underway.
Silver Mar Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Firming Sunday night above the 14.10 area extended to test 14.35 resistance, whose recovery would signal a new upleg underway.
30-year Treasury Jan Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Narrow ranging Sunday night and Monday morning gravitated back up to Friday’s 156-26 highs. Closing above 157-04 would signal a new upleg underway.
Crude Oil Mar Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
Fresh lows Sunday night failed to duplicate Friday’s recovery effort, gapping down Monday and spending the session essentially ranging in negative territory under all prior lows. This would prove to be “ineffectual pessimism” if Tuesday’s open were firm, and would be expected to trend up.
Natural Gas Jan Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Monday’s gap up to 1.82 resistance extended through the 1.85 buy signal and trended up to 1.94. A double top there on diverging RSIs won’t tolerate a pullback deeper than 1.85 to maintain the recovery.
Look ahead: Economic Calendar – for Tue, Dec 22, 2015
A midday look ahead in preparation for economic reports and events scheduled for the next trading day.
Highlights: Tuesday’s GDP is high-profile, but has no track record of influencing price action. The housing sector data aren’t very influential independently, but announcing two sequentially does have potential to contradict each other and trigger a reaction..
GDP
8:30 AM ET
Corporate Profits
8:30 AM ET
Redbook
8:55 AM ET
*FHFA House Price Index
9:00 AM ET
*Existing Home Sales
10:00 AM ET
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
10:00 AM ET
4-Week Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
