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Bigger Picture – Page 418 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bigger Picture

Sunday night’s Globex chaRTroom link…

[FYI, OmniJoin’s new version recording process is untenable, taking much too long to download. I’ll find out Monday whether the original version’s instant recording format is still available. Meanwhile…]

 CLICK HERE for the anymeeting link to view Globex in the chaRTroom.

The Universe, week of Dec 21 2015…

[Note: I publish “The Universe” every weekend, updating my support and resistance calculations for Marijuana sector stocks. It is not a projection, but a handy reference… Non-Marijuana stocks are covered elsewhere during the week.]

Of two timely picks the past two weeks, each continued higher, but only remains timely. INSY isn’t showing any new signs of accumulation. But SPRWF is has patiently avoided another 3rd day surge that might have ended its rally for awhile. Except for a couple of surges in MCIG, the rest of the pack shows little upside intention as tax loss selling season starts to end. Bah, humbug!

Marijuana Stock Universe for December 21, 2015
Reference this table during stock reactions
4-week # up: 12 12.00%
trends* # flat: 8 8.00%
# down: 80 80.00%
*The percentages of stocks rising or falling over 4 weeks.
symbol support resistance 4-week trend
ACGX 0.000 0.003 down
AERO 1.000 1.950 down
AGTK 0.000 0.004 down
AMMJ 0.140 0.290 up
ARNA 1.650 2.200 down
ATTBF 0.035 0.075 flat
BLOZF 0.087 0.163 down
BLPG 0.015 0.086 down
BRDT 0.012 0.031 down
BTFL 0.002 0.005 down
CAFS 0.001 0.011 down
CANL 0.250 0.500 down
CANN 0.350 0.770 down
CANV 0.169 0.440 down
CARA 14.250 18.870 up
CBDS 0.510 1.850 down
CBGI 0.000 0.005 down
CBIS 0.015 0.023 down
CGRW 0.360 0.610 flat
CHUM n/a n/a down
CNAB 0.150 0.330 down
DEWM 0.002 0.004 up
DIGP 0.120 0.220 down
DSCR 0.000 0.025 down
EAPH 0.003 0.006 down
EDXC 0.007 0.019 down
ENCC n/a n/a down
ENDO 0.006 0.018 down
ENRT 0.015 0.025 down
ERBB 0.001 0.003 down
ETST n/a n/a down
EXMT 0.000 0.004 down
FITX 0.004 0.078 flat
FSPM 0.000 0.250 down
FULL 2.470 2.860 down
FWDG 0.000 0.002 down
GBLX 0.125 0.260 down
GRCU 0.000 0.004 down
GRNH 0.015 0.037 down
GWPH 58.750 78.000 down
HEMP 0.050 0.107 down
ICBU 0.000 0.003 down
IGRW 0.000 0.002 down
IMLFF 0.110 0.180 flat
INCC 0.000 0.002 down
INSY 26.400 34.950 up
ITNS 0.001 0.005 down
KAYS 0.067 0.187 flat
LATF 0.000 0.001 down
LXRP 0.180 0.280 up
MCIG 0.025 0.055 flat
MDBX 0.003 0.033 down
MDCN 0.000 0.001 down
MDRM 0.025 0.060 up
MINE 0.000 0.002 down
MJMD 0.000 0.015 down
MJMJ 0.000 0.001 down
MJNA 0.036 0.048 up
MNTR 0.220 0.036 down
MSRT 0.830 1.410 down
MYEC 0.014 0.021 flat
MYHI 0.013 0.100 down
NDEV 0.016 0.053 down
NMUS 0.218 1.215 down
NRTI 0.000 0.002 down
NTRR 0.500 1.400 down
OGRMF 0.510 0.920 up
OSLH 0.000 0.001 down
OXIS 0.009 0.019 down
PHOT 0.004 0.014 down
PLPL 0.053 0.121 down
PMCB 0.072 0.098 down
PNTV 0.001 0.007 down
PZOO 0.000 0.002 down
QEDN 0.000 0.003 down
REDG 0.000 0.003 down
RFMK 0.000 0.002 down
RMHB 0.040 0.088 down
RSSFF 0.030 0.100 up
SING 0.005 0.012 down
SKTO 0.000 0.004 down
SPRWF 0.220 0.330 up
SRNA 0.074 0.120 down
STEV 0.022 0.039 down
TAUG 0.001 0.004 down
TRTC 0.082 0.118 down
TURV 0.463 0.770 down
TWMJF 1.800 2.400 up
UPOT 0.010 0.050 down
USEI 0.000 0.003 down
VAPE 0.003 0.023 down
VAPR 0.000 0.050 down
VGPR 0.000 0.002 down
VHUB 0.025 0.048 down
VPCO 0.070 0.260 down
VPOR 0.000 0.001 down
WDHR 0.000 0.002 down
WOGI 0.001 0.004 down
XTRM 0.001 0.004 flat
XXII 1.060 1.440 up

Saturday Review’s recording (for 12/19/15) …

The Saturday Review focused on  the WedEX signal that inverted to bearish. Its consequences for Monday have great consequences for the week, as holiday seasonality nears.

 MP4 version 
UserID: OmniJoin  ||  Password: F12151

I added several January Effect candidates into the stock requests, which were reviewed in this order:
AAPL, LNKD, GS, GPRO, TWTR, FEYE, IMAX, GOOGLE, TSO, VLO

Steve Marriott : 12/19/2015 9:29:47 AM
good
iPhone (2) : 12/19/2015 9:30:08 AM
Gm
Thomas : 12/19/2015 9:33:33 AM
are you speaking if so I have no sound
glezer : 12/19/2015 9:33:41 AM
gm
glezer : 12/19/2015 9:33:54 AM
very clear
ROD DAVID : 12/19/2015 9:33:55 AM
yes speaking
Steve Marriott : 12/19/2015 9:33:58 AM
audio is stil good
ROD DAVID : 12/19/2015 9:34:16 AM
Tom, do you want to retry logging in, or use the backup link?
Thomas : 12/19/2015 9:34:25 AM
ok I got it
glezer : 12/19/2015 9:38:17 AM
still clicking
glezer : 12/19/2015 9:50:04 AM
since this is a tipping point it might be still defended before breaking down or is it too late for that?
Thomas : 12/19/2015 9:53:43 AM
does it have to break on a closing basis
Thomas : 12/19/2015 9:58:34 AM
if it breaks intraday then comes back into the channel is it likely to goto new dowmtrending resistance or revert back down
admin : 12/19/2015 10:00:20 AM
when the wed ex inverted does this mean big money had changed their mind?
Steve Marriott : 12/19/2015 10:04:19 AM
Please repeat what are you saying about 1949
admin : 12/19/2015 10:07:24 AM
we’ve talked aboout money managers chasing perfomance is it possible hedge fund liquidation could also be a big influence into the end of the year?
admin : 12/19/2015 10:07:54 AM
meaning they have received customer requests for redemptions
glezer : 12/19/2015 10:08:20 AM
big money influence into the holidays should be obvious by Tue morning?
admin : 12/19/2015 10:10:01 AM
does option strike price breaks for like the spx has been talked about cause more elling that we may of seen he last two days?
admin : 12/19/2015 10:10:11 AM
selling
glezer : 12/19/2015 10:10:48 AM
meaning if a big move happens it should be done by Tue morning?
admin : 12/19/2015 10:12:25 AM
they said when spx broke like 2016
admin : 12/19/2015 10:12:30 AM
yes
admin : 12/19/2015 10:13:10 AM
meant 2016 futures
admin : 12/19/2015 10:13:13 AM
ok
glezer : 12/19/2015 10:19:17 AM
indexes?
Thomas : 12/19/2015 10:19:21 AM
lnkd,gs
Steve Marriott : 12/19/2015 10:19:45 AM
better now
Thomas : 12/19/2015 10:19:47 AM
yes
Thomas : 12/19/2015 10:20:02 AM
I am fine
admin : 12/19/2015 10:20:12 AM
good
admin : 12/19/2015 10:23:44 AM
just going back to my question on the option stock price which i want to correct from 2016 futures to 2015 futures spx 2025, does this mean people at that strike have to sell and this brings more downside pressure that other technical levels are not revelant to trade?
Thomas : 12/19/2015 10:27:56 AM
big call options just bought on GPRO
Thomas : 12/19/2015 10:28:49 AM
imax,googl
admin : 12/19/2015 10:29:22 AM
TSO,VLO
admin : 12/19/2015 10:35:13 AM
some of the the commodity stocks would not be jan candidates?
admin : 12/19/2015 10:44:13 AM
could you answer my other question about option strike price
admin : 12/19/2015 10:46:53 AM
what about some of the dow stocks?
admin : 12/19/2015 10:48:35 AM
thanks
glezer : 12/19/2015 10:49:58 AM
clicking is somewhat annoying but not a deal killer for the platform
Steve Marriott : 12/19/2015 10:50:27 AM
no, it’s when you’re speaking
glezer : 12/19/2015 10:50:30 AM
no – when u talk it appears
Thomas : 12/19/2015 10:52:10 AM
looking at transports vs spx quite a divergence.
glezer : 12/19/2015 10:52:40 AM
NQ is outperforming somewhat?
admin : 12/19/2015 10:52:47 AM
what about the russell?
admin : 12/19/2015 10:53:04 AM
does it play any relevance?
glezer : 12/19/2015 10:53:17 AM
thx much
Thomas : 12/19/2015 10:53:49 AM
thanks
admin : 12/19/2015 10:54:21 AM
thanks
Steve Marriott : 12/19/2015 10:54:36 AM
thx

Daily Spot… And a video!

A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap. CLICK HERE FOR A RECORDED FRIDAY MORNING UPDATE

Eurodollar Dec Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
The dip targeting 1.0750-1.0785 didn’t really extend Friday, as the session was spent only ranging narrowly around Thursday’s lows.

Gold Feb Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
Thursday’s Descending Triangle broke higher instead of lower. The lowered 1061.50 buy signal was recovered, after probing it earlier to test the 1070.00 previous buy signal. A second consecutive higher close would launch an upleg. Back under 1057.00 would target new lows at 1038.50-1041.00.

Silver Mar Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
Having fulfilled the required third lower close at 13.69 Thursday, Friday’s surge recovered Wednesday’s gap up to test 14.10. Its recovery would signal a bottom is forming. Back above 14.35 would launch a rally leg.

30-year Treasury Jan Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
The 155-29 corrective bounce target was exceeded by gapping up Friday to 156-24, which a bounce retested after filling the gap back to Thursday’s close. The sell signal is unchanged at 154-30.

Crude Oil Jan Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
Fulfilling the required retest of Sunday night’s 34.50 low allowed a close above 35.45 to reverse momentum up. Its intraday test was rejected to fresh lows on the afternoon Rig Counts. The low held as support, but still needs a recover to prove a bottom is in.

Natural Gas Jan Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Thursday night’s drop essentially fulfilled its potential to test 1.67 and recovered to open testing 1.80. It proved to be an inside day, still testing 1.77. But back above 1.82 and 1.85 would now seal a bottom.