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Bigger Picture – Page 437 – If, Then… Market Timing

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Livestox Recording Nov 6, 2015

The Livestox recording is below, and the stocks we addressed in order follow that.  Please don’t hesitate posting follow-up questions to this blog post’s thread.

Livestox recording (MP4)

TRTC

MCIG

TWMJF

ORGMF

SPRWF

PMCB

CANV

SRNA

MSRT

LXRP

ATTBF

GWPH

INSY

CARA

FEYE

GPRO

AAPL

TWTR

GILD

YY

SUNE

RAX

FOLD

SRPT

WING

GLD

USO

SPX

Daily Spot… More of the same. A lot of it.

A daily summary of high-profile members of several complexes… View a more detailed discussion of each chart at the end of today’s Market Wrap.

Eurodollar Sep Contract (EC, ETF: (FXE, UUP))
The potential for a bottom was broadsided Friday by the Employment Situation report. There was no unfinished business below, so extending down anyway and extending down sharply requires a bottom to recover immediately, if at all.

Gold Dec Contract (GC, ETF: (GLD))
Greeting Friday’s Employment Situation report while testing the 1106.50 support reacted down sharply to 1084.50, next targeting 1082.00.

Silver Dec Contract (SI, ETF: (SLV))
The slide extended Friday in reaction to the Employment Situation report, testing new lows at 14.70. New lows on a Friday tend at least to be probed intraday on Monday.

30-year Treasury Dec Contract (US, ETF: (TLT))
Fulfilling the minimum 153-25 target Thursday was never rejected before Friday’s Employment Situation report, which triggered an even deeper drop down to 151-25. The new bounce limit is 152-20 and 153-16.

Crude Oil Dec Contract (CL, ETF: (USO, USL) (UWTI-long, DWTI-short))
Extending down steeply is required of the break under 46.00 to confirm it is valid and targeting new lows. Friday’s gap down tested 44.25 intraday, which is a proxy for ranging narrowly sideways.

Natural Gas Nov Contract (NG, ETF: (UNG, UNL))
Closing above 2.31 Thursday needed confirmation from closing above 2.37 Friday, or at least positive, that a new upleg is forming. Friday did probe it, but was still testing it at the close to avoid confirming a recovery.

Look ahead: Economic Calendar – for Mon Nov 9, 2015

A midday look ahead in preparation for economic reports and events scheduled for the next trading day.

Highlights: Monday’s Fed speaker comes on right when participation starts to slip for the day. But there is otherwise no econ report that influences price action.

Labor Market Conditions Index
10:00 AM ET

3-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET

6-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET

*Eric Rosengren Speaks
12:00 PM ET

TD Ameritrade IMX
12:30 PM ET

3-Yr Note Auction
1:00 PM ET.

Livestox warning!

Join us Friday for Livestox at 12:15pm ET. There’s a lot of critical price action among group favorites like FEYE, AAPL, TWTR, CARA, INSY, Biotechs, Crude Oil and Gold. Cannabis stocks are interesting, too — especially the repeat 3rd-day surges among several Canadian issues, and sudden high-volume surges in MCIG and TRTC.

An important economic report will have released, monthly Employment Situation report, a.k.a. Payrolls, a.k.a. NFP, a.k.a. interest rate influencer. The broader market’s reaction could be very telling of its intent through Thanksgiving and into the December FOMC meeting.

Add your stock requests to this blog’s comments section. If you cannot attend, the recording will be available before the close.

Login here by 12:15 ET Friday.