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Bias-parameters – Page 1111 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-parameters

No-bias environment for the next hour, unless…

[pay][At 1:28pm ET] The afternoon’s ESh 1288’50 bias-up signal was touched during the noon hour, but held as resistance. The reaction didn’t even break under 1282’25, let alone under the bias-down signal, so this is a no-bias environment through the next hour. A break under 1282’25 through the bottom of the hour would be credible as a late sell signal, but otherwise trending is unlikely, and trending is likely to be retraced.[/pay]

Afternoon bias

[pay]

MON afternoon signal SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1288.25 1288’50
…would target 1295.25 1295’50
Bias-down: under 1278.25 1278’50
…would target 1271.75 1272’00
Signal status: No-bias (touched bias-up signal)

[/pay]

Morning bias

[pay]

MON morning signal SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1297.75 1298’00
…would target 1305.75 1306’00
Bias-down: under 1290.75 1291’00
…would target 1285.75 1286’00
Signal status: within 1 tick of bias-down target, bias-up signal held its test, Bias-down triggered

[/pay]

DAY morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above
…would target
Bias-down: under
…would target
Signal status: waiting for trigger FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the bias environment’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

[/pay]

[pay]

DAY afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above
…would target
Bias-down: under
…would target
Signal status: waiting for trigger FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the bias environment’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.