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Bias-parameters – Page 503 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-parameters

Bias-up.

Also, Gold’s pre-open bullish potential is already getting ahead of itself.

[pay]The pre-open 6-tick surge that I noted in the First Trade, extended to 4 points into the open. A 2-point reaction down from 1839.25 touched the 1837.25 bias-up signal, whose support launched another recovery to 1840.75.

The 1842.75 bias-up target is in-play. The potential for extending to 1856.50 should be in the back of our minds, but only to inhibit shorting strength. No bearish setup can be considered between the bias-up parameters, either before fulfilling the target or rejecting the signal.

Meanwhile, note the stunning reversal and recovery in Gold. We discussed the potential for an outstanding buying opportunity during this morning’s Market Tour as price was plunging to 1181.40. The plunge’s sponsorship was not very credible, and simply holding the test of prior lows would have been bullish. Now price has turned positive already to probe above 1210.00. That pace might not be sustainable, but just closing above 1205.00 would confirm the unfinished business above at 1232.50 is in-play.

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Morning bias

[pay]

TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1842.75 1837.25
…would target 1848.25 1842.75
Bias-down: under 1837.50 1832.00
…would target 1829.50 1824.00
Signal status: BIAS-UP FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

[/pay]

Afternoon bias

[pay]

MON afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1843.75 1837.25
…would target 1848.25 1842.75
Bias-down: under 1837.50 1832.00
…would target 1829.50 1824.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

[/pay]

Morning bias

[pay]

MON morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1845.00 1839.50
…would target 1849.75 1844.25
Bias-down: under 1839.00 1833.50
…would target 1833.50 1828.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

[/pay]

Afternoon bias

[pay]

FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1845.00 1839.50
…would target 1849.75 1844.25
Bias-down: under 1839.00 1833.50
…would target 1833.50 1828.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

[/pay]