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Bias-parameters – Page 519 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-parameters

Morning bias

[pay]

WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1774.00 1769.50
…would target 1778.75 1775.25
Bias-down: under 1763.50 1760.00
…would target 1756.50 1753.00
Signal status: STILL TESTING BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

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Afternoon bias

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TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1771.25 1767.50
…would target 1776.00 1772.50
Bias-down: under 1764.75 1761.25
…would target 1759.50 1755.75
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

[/pay]

NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-DOWN

Shallow opening dip recovered, trying to turn positive.

[pay]The overnight slide down to 1763.00 was repeated at the open, and 1763.00 continued to hold. Being the bias-down signal, not breaking under it through 10:15 has put into play an offsetting test of the 1769.50 bias-up signal.

1769.50 has been attacked to within 1 point. Being a no-bias environment, that should contain or else define this morning’s resistance. Slow-playing its test would allow a surge through it into the noon hour. Probing it too much or too often this morning would more likely react back down.

Holding 1765.75 as support, and almost any fresh print above 1768.50, would keep in-play today’s likeliest scenario for recovering from a shallow dip to probe above prior highs.

[/pay]

Morning bias

[pay]

TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1773.25 1769.50
…would target 1778.25 1774.50
Bias-down: under 1766.75 1763.00
…would target 1761.75 1758.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

[/pay]

Afternoon bias

[pay]

MON afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1773.25 1769.50
…would target 1778.25 1774.50
Bias-down: under 1766.75 1763.00
…would target 1761.75 1758.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

[/pay]