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Bias-parameters – Page 660 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-parameters

Afternoon bias

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THU afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1322.25 1316.00
…would target 1327.25 1321.00
Bias-down: under 1315.00 1308.75
…would target 1314.50 1303.25
Signal status: NO-BIAS FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Morning bias

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THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1333.75 1327.50
…would target 1338.75 1332.50
Bias-down: under 1327.25 1321.00
…would target 1322.25 1316.00
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN, BIAS-DOWN TARGET MET FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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When is a bias-up not a bias-up?

When it is invalidated.

[pay]This afternoon’s 1325.75 bias-up signal triggered at 1:20. In the Chartroom I warned that it was suspicious. The entire noon hour had ranged narrowly back to 1325.75 as support.

In fact, a slide to 1323.75 through 1:30 has invalidated the bias-up. This is not a no-bias environment. Rather, there is not a bias influence.

The 1319.25 bias-down signal would be expected to hold if tested. But it does not require a test. I would expect 1322.50-1323.00 to hold. If tested. With no requirement to be tested.

Unless the bias environment were exited bearishly, I still won’t have a sell signal.

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Afternoon bias

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WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1332.25 1325.75
…would target 1337.25 1331.00
Bias-down: under 1325.50 1319.25
…would target 1320.00 1313.50
Signal status: INVALIDATED BIAS-UP FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Morning bias

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WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1324.50 1318.00
…would target 1331.00 1324.50
Bias-down: under 1307.25 1310.75
…would target 1311.00 1304.50
Signal status: BIAS-UP, BIAS-UP TARGET MET FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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