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Bias-parameters – Page 770 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-parameters

Afternoon bias

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THU afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1295.25 1289.00
…would target 1301.75 1295.50
Bias-down: under 1288.75 1282.50
…would target 1282.75 1276.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Morning bias

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THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1284.00 1277.75
…would target 1291.25 1285.00
Bias-down: under 1276.00 1269.75
…would target 1268.00 1262.75
Signal status: BIAS-UP FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Afternoon bias

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WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1286.00 1285.25
…would target 1292.25 1291.50
Bias-down: under 1282.50 1281.75
…would target 1276.75 1276.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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A bias-down, looking for traction.

Fresh lows, or not fresh lows. That is the question.

[pay]The 1282.00/1285.00 bounce limits each were tested into and out of the open. Both gaps to yesterday’s cash and futures closes have been filled. And the 1284.00 bias-down signal held its tests as resistance.

The reaction down fell to 1279.00 where a bounce began that reached 1284.00. It reached 1284.00 within 3 minutes of the bias timing window, in time to invoke the 15-minute grace period.

Recovering 1284.00 through 10:30 would have triggered a late no-bias, putting into play a test of the 1292.50 bias-up signal. Instead, the 1277.00 bias-down target is in-play.

That said, 1277.00 having been tested already overnight, beware if the bias environment were exited after 11:30 back above 1284.00. The excessive pessimism has shown signs of wearing, and there is still potential for launching a corrective bounce.

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Morning bias

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WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1293.75 1292.50
…would target 1299.75 1298.75
Bias-down: under 1285.00 1284.00
…would target 1278.25 1277.00
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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