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Bias-parameters – Page 771 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-parameters

Afternoon bias

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TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1294.00 1292.75
…would target 1298.50 1297.50
Bias-down: under 1289.25 1288.25
…would target 1283.75 1282.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-UP SIGNAL FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Morning bias

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TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1292.00 1290.75
…would target 1297.50 1296.50
Bias-down: under 1283.50 1282.50
…would target 1275.50 1274.25
Signal status: BIAS-UP FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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No-bias isn’t refuting the morning’s drop.

Delaying fresh lows doesn’t equate to absorbing them.

[pay]This morning’s 1295.00 bias-down signal was being tested as resistance when the bias environment started lapsing at 11:30. It was still being tested at noon. Its recovery was uncertain. But it certainly was not recovered decisively.

Not having been nullified, this morning’s 1289.00  bias-down target is now unfinished business below. Also, this morning’s two higher lows did not touch a prior low, reflecting optimism, which is not the stuff of a durable bottom.

Eventual bearish resolution aside, this afternoon’s 1:20 timing window is signaling no-bias. Declining to new lows during this afternoon’s no-bias environment would  not gain traction – and could neutralize selling pressure if it were to retest this morning’s 1289.00 bias-down target.

Alternatively, the path lower may include a detour up to the 1296.75 bias-up signal, triggered above 1295.00. But back under 1291.50 would target new session lows.

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Afternoon bias

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MON afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1298.00 1296.75
…would target 1305.75 1304.75
Bias-down: under 1292.50 1291.50
…would target 1287.50 1286.25
Signal status: NO-BIAS FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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Morning bias

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MON morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1306.00 1305.00
…would target 1311.50 1310.50
Bias-down: under 1296.00 1295.00
…would target 1290.00 1289.00
Signal status: BIAS-DOWN FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

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