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Livestox Recording Oct 5, 2015 – If, Then… Market Timing

Livestox Recording Oct 5, 2015

Monday’s post-close Livestox recording is below, and the stocks we addressed in order follow that.  Please don’t hesitate posting follow-up questions to this blog post’s thread… NOTE: Next week’s post-close Livestox will be Tuesday.

Livestox recording (MP4)

SPX

SRNA / TRTC — The former is taking a long time to resolve a similar pattern, which is why the latter is targeting new lows

LXRP — above .19 would be bullish so long as .15 were held as support

CANN — above 1.20 would target 2.27 so long as 1.08 were held as support

MSRT — trigger is above 1.05

TAUG — trigger is above .006

CARA — above 14.25 has potential for a corrective bounce targeting 17.75

INSY — so long as basing holds here at 25.65-28.90, back above 30.50 would target 39.25

GWPH — Chance for a bounce to 105

AAPL — trading mid-range, not indicating which direction it will resolve first

GPRO — probing under 34 support, back above 36.40 would suggest the pullback had ended

TSLA — under 221 is bearish

GOOGL — retesting 671 resistance with no requirement to break higher

AMZN — unfinished business above remains outstanding at 579

RIG / CLF — updating comments from last week that the patterns are bullish

TWTR –my most timely pick, having held multiple tests and attacks on 24 while volume improves

NFLX — needs 2nd consecutive higher close Tue to avoid being a false breakout

TPIV — request

TACT — request

GILD — big band of support down to 88-94 but above 108 would target new highs

MRO — targeting 22.25 so long as 16.50 support holds

23 Comments

  1. guanito on October 6, 2015 - 9:45 am at 9:45 am

    Hihi Rod. SIL breakout?



    • Rod David on October 6, 2015 - 9:58 am at 9:58 am

      SIL — The volume accompanying it is disappointing. But closing above 7.45 on expanding volume could still compensate for the delay.



  2. fennecby on October 7, 2015 - 10:05 am at 10:05 am

    Morning Rod. How’s GNE (genie energy) looking to you?



    • Rod David on October 7, 2015 - 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm

      GNE — The reversal has come very suddenly, but it has been nonetheless very productive. Closing above 10.55 before back under 9.85 would seal a bottom.



      • fennecby on October 7, 2015 - 2:43 pm at 2:43 pm

        thanks. And where might sealing a bottom lead? (there’s [unsubstantiated] talk circling about a major oil find – allegedly billions of barrels’ worth)

        Another couple standouts this morning:
        CARA – but actually just an inside day on average volume?
        NVMI – big move but no volume to back it up.
        OGRMF – well, today of all days, you should see the Canadian. New low and bounce on 10x average volume.

        would appreciate your opinion on the first two.



        • Rod David on October 8, 2015 - 11:46 am at 11:46 am

          Sorry, the system has only now alerted me to your post…



        • Rod David on October 8, 2015 - 11:53 am at 11:53 am

          GNE — Nice move… Closing today above 12.50-13.05 would next target 16.35-17.25.

          CARA — I’m not sure what the question is, sorry.

          NVMI — Correct on the move and the volume… And I would add it’s still in a downtrend with an unbroken series of lower lows and lower highs. That doesn’t require lower lows, and there is potential to start basin.



  3. fennecby on October 8, 2015 - 1:33 pm at 1:33 pm

    thanks Rod.
    and re CARA, the song remains the same, always, no? that is – where’s it going now? UP or DOWN (ever seen David Bowie and Jennifer Connelly in Labyrinth?) The context being yesterday’s seemingly impressive move which on 2nd thought looked to be wholly contained within the day before (as is today’s seemingly steepish decline).



    • Rod David on October 9, 2015 - 8:35 am at 8:35 am

      An “impressive move” can’t be defined by size, but by what that size accomplishes. Even defining it by direction alone can be misleading, since probing prior lows intraday but closing above them can be bullish accumulation.



      • fennecby on October 9, 2015 - 11:22 am at 11:22 am

        got it, thanks.



  4. fennecby on October 8, 2015 - 1:49 pm at 1:49 pm


  5. Josey on October 8, 2015 - 2:33 pm at 2:33 pm

    Wow, just noticed TWTR, to late to jump on the bandwagon?



    • Rod David on October 9, 2015 - 8:37 am at 8:37 am

      TWTR was my number-one timing pick during the past two Livestox, for having repeatedly held tests of 24. Its eventual target remains in-play above, but I would rather add on dips to 28 area



  6. fennecby on October 8, 2015 - 2:38 pm at 2:38 pm

    Here’s a new one for today: ONVO. Good time to enter in terms or risk / reward?
    And in the same space: DDD. Is this what “finally bottomed” looks like?



    • Rod David on October 9, 2015 - 8:41 am at 8:41 am

      ONVO — I like the pattern so long as 2.80-2.85 holds as support. Th sooner this is testing 3.60 on expanding volume, the more bullish the resolution.

      DDD — Reasonable timing, looks like a Symmetrical Triangle broke falsely in one direction and is now reversing more substantially in the opposite direction.



      • fennecby on October 9, 2015 - 11:22 am at 11:22 am

        thank you!



  7. Brett Halloran on October 9, 2015 - 10:20 am at 10:20 am

    Hi Rod, do you have any updated parameters on VLKAY? Surging the last few days.



    • Rod David on October 9, 2015 - 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm

      VLKAY — The paradigm shift has basically made this a new stock. Its resistance is still at 31, and now a lot of selling pressure has been expended just to attack it, 7 points up from the 22.80 low. But 31 should still be tested so long as 27 now holds as support



  8. Brett Halloran on October 9, 2015 - 10:26 am at 10:26 am

    Also, TIK surging on profit news. Where do you see resistance? Thanks



    • Rod David on October 9, 2015 - 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm

      TIK — I don’t see any actual patterns, just congestion in various areas of the ongoing channel/range. So, there’s nothing predictive about the reactio,n sorry



  9. Brett Halloran on October 9, 2015 - 11:26 am at 11:26 am

    Also, do you have support/resistance on JMBA? Sorry for the rapid fire!



    • Rod David on October 9, 2015 - 1:30 pm at 1:30 pm

      JMBA — 13.25 is support at 15.95 is resistance. Recovering resistance at this stage of the pattern, already having bounced once, would start signaling the trend is reversing up. Otherwise, breaking under support would next target 11.10



  10. Brett Halloran on October 12, 2015 - 9:32 am at 9:32 am

    Thanks Rod!