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The Universe, week of Sep 21 2015… Testing defenses. – If, Then… Market Timing

The Universe, week of Sep 21 2015… Testing defenses.

[Note: I publish “The Universe” every weekend, updating my support and resistance calculations for Marijuana sector stocks. It is not a projection, but a handy reference… Non-Marijuana stocks are covered elsewhere during the week.]

This week’s changes to The Universe were largely unremarkable. If there were one exception, it would be that several issues did merit lowering their supports. But the majority of those were teetering already from previous weeks. Generally, the mix didn’t change. So, there doesn’t seem to be any residual skittishness from the broader market’s recent plunge.

We should know almost immediately this week whether the broader market’s week-ending decline has begun the next — and, I think, inevitable — downleg. Retesting last week’s highs, first, wouldn’t be surprising. If the latter scenario were to develop, then several Cannabis stocks can have an easier environment to exploit their interesting charts: CANN, MDBX, SPRWF, TAUG.

 

Marijuana Stock Universe for September 21, 2015
Reference this table during stock reactions
4-week # up: 7 6.93%
trends* # flat: 15 14.85%
# down: 79 78.22%
*The percentages of stocks rising or falling over 4 weeks.
symbol support resistance 4-week trend
ACGX 0.000 0.003 down
AERO 1.000 1.950 down
AGTK 0.000 0.009 down
AMMJ 0.070 0.182 down
ARNA 2.410 3.320 down
ATTBF 0.035 0.075 down
AVTC 0.000 0.400 down
BLOZF 0.130 0.340 down
BLPG 0.015 0.086 down
BRDT 0.012 0.048 down
BTFL 0.071 0.232 down
CAFS 0.001 0.011 down
CANL 0.059 0.900 down
CANN 0.330 1.160 flat
CANV 0.570 1.340 down
CARA 18.300 23.550 flat
CBDS 1.630 2.660 flat
CBGI 0.000 0.005 down
CBIS 0.020 0.041 flat
CGRW 0.360 0.610 flat
CHUM n/a n/a down
CNAB 0.320 0.750 down
DEWM 0.001 0.003 down
DIGP 0.170 0.400 down
DSCR 0.000 0.025 down
EAPH 0.005 0.013 down
EDXC 0.019 0.047 down
ENCC n/a n/a down
ENDO 0.006 0.018 down
ENRT 0.017 0.037 down
ERBB 0.002 0.004 flat
ETST n/a n/a flat
EXMT 0.000 0.004 up
FITX 0.002 0.006 down
FSPM 0.000 0.250 down
FULL 3.060 3.660 down
FWDG 0.000 0.002 down
GBLX 0.270 0.460 flat
GRCU 0.000 0.004 flat
GRNH 0.023 0.067 down
GWPH 101.550 132.000 down
HEMPD 0.050 0.107 down
ICBU 0.000 0.003 down
IGRW 0.000 0.002 down
IMLFF 0.100 0.180 down
INCC 0.000 0.002 down
INSY 30.780 39.600 down
ITNS 0.001 0.005 down
KAYS 0.067 0.187 flat
LATF 0.000 0.001 down
LXRP 0.098 0.205 up
MCIG 0.023 0.052 down
MDBX 0.122 0.181 up
MDCN 0.000 0.001 down
MDRM 0.016 0.051 flat
MINE 0.000 0.002 down
MJMD 0.000 0.015 down
MJMJ 0.000 0.001 down
MJNA 0.031 0.042 down
MNTR 0.310 0.620 down
MSRT 1.650 2.290 up
MYEC 0.010 0.015 down
MYHI 0.013 0.188 down
NDEV 0.016 0.053 down
NMUS 0.620 1.600 down
NRTI 0.000 0.002 down
NTRR 0.022 0.046 flat
OGRMF 0.208 0.337 down
OSLH 0.000 0.001 down
OXIS 0.015 0.027 down
PHOT 0.010 0.030 down
PLPL 0.109 0.177 down
PMCB 0.080 0.129 down
PNTV 0.001 0.007 down
PZOO 0.004 0.008 down
QEDN 0.000 0.003 down
REDG 0.000 0.003 down
RFMK 0.000 0.002 down
RSSFF 0.030 0.100 down
SING 0.005 0.012 down
SKTO 0.000 0.004 down
SPRWF 0.082 0.165 down
SRNA 0.100 0.185 up
STEV 0.049 0.072 flat
TAUG 0.000 0.005 down
THCZ 0.051 0.013 down
TRTC 0.100 0.165 flat
TURV 0.630 0.89 down
TWMJF 1.240 1.490 down
UPOT 0.080 0.270 down
USEI 0.000 0.003 down
VAPE 0.088 0.275 down
VAPR 0.000 0.050 down
VGPR 0.000 0.002 down
VHUB 0.040 0.059 up
VPCO 0.400 0.840 down
VPOR 0.000 0.001 down
WDHR 0.000 0.002 down
WOGI 0.005 0.013 flat
XTRM 0.001 0.004 down
XXII 0.085 1.100 up

19 Comments

  1. Josey on September 21, 2015 - 10:45 am at 10:45 am

    Hi Rod, Thoughts on catching IMGN here @ 13.00. The RSI 1 and 3 min. are diverging. Quick trade ? TY



    • Rod David on September 21, 2015 - 11:58 am at 11:58 am

      The rally effort’s failure all but requires probing the base that had launched it, which means something under 12 is likely to print



  2. Adrian Avant on September 21, 2015 - 2:14 pm at 2:14 pm

    Hey Rod,

    Hope you had a great weekend. Do you see a bottom forming on WLL? Bullish Ascending Triangle?



    • Rod David on September 21, 2015 - 2:57 pm at 2:57 pm

      Thank you!
      WLL – The price action resembles an Ascending Triangle, complete with declining volume as the pattern formed. But its resistance overlaps a consolidation that had developed during the decline in the first week of August. That has to be considered part of the pattern, if there is actually a pattern. Instead, at this stage, it’s still an ongoing series of lower lows and lower highs, i.e. a downtrend.



  3. fennecby on September 21, 2015 - 2:34 pm at 2:34 pm

    signs of bottoming on AERO?

    and note that TWD.v changes its ticker tomorrow to CGC (Canopy Growth Company).
    don’t know about TWMJF.



    • Rod David on September 21, 2015 - 3:06 pm at 3:06 pm

      AERO — Ranging around 1.48-1.50, which had been the decline’s next lower target, instead of sliding through it does undermine sellers, but that still doesn’t equate to being a buy signal



    • Rod David on September 21, 2015 - 3:06 pm at 3:06 pm

      Thanks on Tweed, we’ll watch for any effects



  4. Kite Gradient on September 21, 2015 - 2:39 pm at 2:39 pm

    Hi Rod, All,

    Where are the Chartroom items posted? The ones from recent email alerts.

    Also, VAPE, high volume on the heals of some rough financing. I assume no reason to enter but will the finaciers prolong and extend any bottoming?



    • Rod David on September 21, 2015 - 3:08 pm at 3:08 pm

      The programmer finally added the ability to view all comments under each post on the same page that lists all posts — rather than having to click-through to the post to see its comments. I’m told that before tomorrow’s open we’ll also be able to post new comments under each post in the combined post page.



    • Rod David on September 21, 2015 - 3:09 pm at 3:09 pm

      VAPE — I don’t analyze the corporate side, but I’m closely monitoring price action now that the .09 is being probed



  5. fennecby on September 22, 2015 - 3:40 am at 3:40 am

    got it re AERO.
    so what’s the next step / secret ingredient to be looking for?



    • Rod David on September 22, 2015 - 5:20 am at 5:20 am

      AERO — There’s nothing compelling about the pattern, not when new lows “die on the vine” instead of attracting new interest that makes price action more volatile.



      • fennecby on September 22, 2015 - 9:03 am at 9:03 am

        thanks (ooh, threads! nice).

        How does ADSK look to you here?



        • Rod David on September 22, 2015 - 9:36 am at 9:36 am

          ADSK — Its biggest challenge right now is in recovering 49.50. Anything under that is more in-line with a pennant pattern that is waiting to resolve down and resume its recent decline



  6. fennecby on September 23, 2015 - 6:40 am at 6:40 am

    Morning Rod.
    After Friday’s capitulation (?) and another huge volume day Monday, a 4 million stock block was bought yesterday on WYY towards the end of the day. Seems some serious defense is being played at these levels. If this indeed triggers even a temporary bounce, where would you expect it to falter? Around 0.98 (previous bottom’s low)?



    • Rod David on September 23, 2015 - 9:39 am at 9:39 am

      WYY — A very favorable technical configuration appeared yesterday, when its post-open sell-off tested the consolidation from Friday’s lows. That allowed comparison of their respective RSIs, which diverged positively. Price action since then hasn’t disagreed, and also firmed into the close. Now extending higher at this morning’s open can get a benefit of the doubt for at least launching a corrective bounce targeting 1.10-1.15.



      • fennecby on September 23, 2015 - 9:54 am at 9:54 am

        got it. thanks.



  7. Brett Halloran on September 23, 2015 - 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm

    Hi Rod, do you have any support/resistance parameters for VLKAY. I’m averaged in at 28 at the moment and trying to figure out a sell target.



    • Rod David on September 23, 2015 - 1:51 pm at 1:51 pm

      VLKAY — 31 is tough resistance for awhile. It should be probed eventually to at least fill the gap back up to higher prior lows at 36. But the first attempt at it should be knocked back down.