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The Universe, week of September 28, 2015… Dodging (some) bullets. – If, Then… Market Timing

The Universe, week of September 28, 2015… Dodging (some) bullets.

[Note: I publish “The Universe” every weekend, updating my support and resistance calculations for Marijuana sector stocks. It is not a projection, but a handy reference… Non-Marijuana stocks are covered elsewhere during the week.]

The stock market has been ranging sideways. albeit in a very wide range with very wide intraday ranges. I still expect Round-Two of the plunging action that ended August. Last week’s market stories included the drug pricing controversy, which took a toll on Biotechs. So, my bearish picks GWPH and INSY declined, as did my bullish pick CARA.

Other stocks in the Cannabis sector are largely sitting things out. Not necessarily in a good way — VAPE hit my downside target in the .09 range but never developed any bullish behavior, and ended the week down another 50% from there. That’s not going to bottom immediately… TRTC, meanwhile, is a bottoming pattern that has taken too long to resolve, and has instead become top-heavy. I’ll review this again if new lows were to print.

Attractive patterns still include CANN, whose pullback should end this week if the recovery is valid. A new entry is THCZ which shot up out of a basing pattern that is likely to find a second wind.

Marijuana Stock Universe for September 28, 2015
Reference this table during stock reactions
4-week # up: 7 6.93%
trends* # flat: 15 14.85%
# down: 79 78.22%
*The percentages of stocks rising or falling over 4 weeks.
symbol support resistance 4-week trend
ACGX 0.000 0.003 down
AERO 1.000 1.950 down
AGTK 0.000 0.009 down
AMMJ 0.070 0.182 down
ARNA 1.490 2.900 down
ATTBF 0.035 0.075 down
AVTC 0.000 0.400 down
BLOZF 0.130 0.340 down
BLPG 0.015 0.086 down
BRDT 0.012 0.048 down
BTFL 0.071 0.232 down
CAFS 0.001 0.011 down
CANL 0.440 0.740 down
CANN 0.330 1.160 flat
CANV 0.570 1.340 down
CARA 14.250 18.870 down
CBDS 1.630 2.660 flat
CBGI 0.000 0.005 down
CBIS 0.020 0.041 flat
CGRW 0.360 0.610 flat
CHUM n/a n/a down
CNAB 0.320 0.750 down
DEWM 0.001 0.003 down
DIGP 0.170 0.400 down
DSCR 0.000 0.025 down
EAPH 0.005 0.013 down
EDXC 0.007 0.019 down
ENCC n/a n/a down
ENDO 0.006 0.018 down
ENRT 0.017 0.037 down
ERBB 0.002 0.004 flat
ETST n/a n/a flat
EXMT 0.000 0.004 up
FITX 0.004 0.078 up
FSPM 0.000 0.250 down
FULL 3.060 3.660 down
FWDG 0.000 0.002 down
GBLX 0.270 0.460 flat
GRCU 0.000 0.004 flat
GRNH 0.023 0.067 down
GWPH 86.620 111.000 down
HEMPD 0.050 0.107 down
ICBU 0.000 0.003 down
IGRW 0.000 0.002 down
IMLFF 0.100 0.180 down
INCC 0.000 0.002 down
INSY 25.050 32.100 down
ITNS 0.001 0.005 down
KAYS 0.067 0.187 flat
LATF 0.000 0.001 down
LXRP 0.098 0.205 up
MCIG 0.023 0.052 down
MDBX 0.122 0.181 up
MDCN 0.000 0.001 down
MDRM 0.008 0.025 down
MINE 0.000 0.002 down
MJMD 0.000 0.015 down
MJMJ 0.000 0.001 down
MJNA 0.031 0.042 down
MNTR 0.310 0.620 down
MSRT 1.410 1.880 flat
MYEC 0.014 0.021 down
MYHI 0.013 0.188 down
NDEV 0.016 0.053 down
NMUS 0.218 1.215 down
NRTI 0.000 0.002 down
NTRR 0.022 0.046 flat
OGRMF 0.110 0.310 down
OSLH 0.000 0.001 down
OXIS 0.015 0.027 down
PHOT 0.010 0.030 down
PLPL 0.109 0.177 down
PMCB 0.080 0.129 down
PNTV 0.001 0.007 down
PZOO 0.004 0.008 down
QEDN 0.000 0.003 down
REDG 0.000 0.003 down
RFMK 0.000 0.002 down
RSSFF 0.030 0.100 down
SING 0.005 0.012 down
SKTO 0.000 0.004 down
SPRWF 0.082 0.165 down
SRNA 0.100 0.185 up
STEV 0.049 0.072 flat
TAUG 0.000 0.005 down
THCZ 0.075 0.013 up
TRTC 0.100 0.165 flat
TURV 0.630 0.89 down
TWMJF 1.240 1.490 down
UPOT 0.080 0.270 down
USEI 0.000 0.003 down
VAPE 0.027 0.087 down
VAPR 0.000 0.050 down
VGPR 0.000 0.002 down
VHUB 0.040 0.059 up
VPCO 0.400 0.840 down
VPOR 0.000 0.001 down
WDHR 0.000 0.002 down
WOGI 0.005 0.013 flat
XTRM 0.001 0.004 down
XXII 0.085 1.100 flat

13 Comments

  1. Josey on September 28, 2015 - 10:13 am at 10:13 am

    Hi Rod, Would a fresh low be next for FCX?



    • Rod David on September 28, 2015 - 10:40 am at 10:40 am

      FCX — I’m looking for 6.75 to be tested, and potentially also to contain the low.



  2. casjf on September 28, 2015 - 4:02 pm at 4:02 pm

    CARA – Next lower support around 12.65?



    • Rod David on September 29, 2015 - 9:09 am at 9:09 am

      CARA — Closing under 14.25 is less important than the probes under it all overlapping 14.25. Which yesterday’s closing bars did. Regardless, that wouldn’t qualify as a bottom. But a temporary bounce to 17.75 becomes more likely.



    • Rod David on September 29, 2015 - 2:25 pm at 2:25 pm

      CARA — No longer overlapping 14.25 intraday. But volume isn’t expanding on the probe under it. I’m monitoring for basing to start.



      • Rod David on September 29, 2015 - 4:04 pm at 4:04 pm

        Suddenly volume arrives… If the late dip wasn’t capitulative and ending the decline, then basing will take much longer to develop.



  3. casjf on September 30, 2015 - 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm

    CARA – I’m getting the sense from the broader market that this may still not have based. What do you think?



    • Rod David on September 30, 2015 - 2:07 pm at 2:07 pm

      CARA — This pricing works as a low, especially if today’s close were above 14.25. But the pattern doesn’t yet work as a base for launching a durable rally. A couple of days of that around here could then launch at least an initial upleg or corrective bounce targeting 17.75



  4. fennecby on October 1, 2015 - 10:32 am at 10:32 am

    where would you be a buyer of FEYE on this CSCO takeover rumor?
    So far it seems that the market’s not really buying it.



    • Rod David on October 1, 2015 - 11:45 am at 11:45 am

      FEYE — Closing above 32.75 would help to seal a bottom. Especially today, with volume improving considerably. The risk:reward to being long is very attractive with near-term support at 31.10 needing to hold to avoid extending the decline.



      • fennecby on October 1, 2015 - 1:59 pm at 1:59 pm

        cool, thanks.



  5. casjf on October 2, 2015 - 3:20 pm at 3:20 pm

    SUNE – current support & resistance



    • Rod David on October 2, 2015 - 5:53 pm at 5:53 pm

      SUNE — 6.97 support, which was just recently tested and producing a bounce, and 10.37 resistance