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Rod David – Page 1894 – If, Then… Market Timing

Posts by Rod David

I think there”s a new

By Rod David | April 26, 2015 - 5:48 pm

I think there”s a new “client” for accessing the chaRTroom. It seems to work seamlessly on Win 8, but it”s not being very cooperative using XP. Please post here or email me if you encounter any difficulty.

Posted in S&P

Saturday Review”s recordings are here…

By Rod David | April 25, 2015 - 2:31 pm

Saturday Review”s recordings are here…
in the traditional version
https://roddavid10.mitel-nhwc.com/join/hthppyv
and now also available in MP4
https://www.anymeeting.com/312-009-551/E159D884844F

After discussing the bigger picture, the following stock charts were reviewed in this order:
CPLP, AAPL, OXIS, CARA, NFLX, GOOG, ADXS, PII, SLF, KING, ZIOP, BWLD, MBT, SDRL, JOY, MNST, OGZPY, AFL, CEO, SIG, ITB/XHB, TUR, PBR, VALE, CIG.

And here”s the accompanying chat:
Miss Kitty: Good morning.
Mark : gm
charles daniel: hi0
Mark : good
Mark : audio breaking up – is it just me?
Miss Kitty: audio fine
Mark : from time to time
Mark : ok
Mark : do u think a major reversal may come with ESR on Fri?
Miss Kitty: So you don”t see yesterday as the start of a 2-3 month new rally to 2300 or so?
Mark : Employment situation repoort
Mark : possibly
Mark : ok
Mark : seems like raising too early would be worth than too late so they probably won”t raise
Mark : indexes comparison pls
Mark : CPLP
Mark : AAPL
Miss Kitty: OXIS, CARA
charles: nflx goog
M K: ADXS
M K: PII
M K: ZIOP
M K: BWLD
charles: googL
M K: MNST
M K: OGZPY
M K: SIG
M K: volume was super weak
M K: friday
M K: i sold the new high
tamara n:SLF,KING,MBT,SDRL
tamara n:AFL,CEO,ITB,TUR IF THERE IS TIME
M K: after all that trending
M K: seems like distribution on PII
M K: distribution =! topping
M K: look at volume die on the 2nd top
M K: wanted to short 1250
M K: but never got it
M K: think the next time 1250 prints is bullish now
M K: thats algos
Bill G: JOY,several week consolidation before a further drop or basing for rally?
M K: would you fade?
M K: or be careful if fading on increasing volume
M K: i”m thinking we see 184-186 again
M K: earnings coming
M K: i don”t think we”ll get a clear signal
M K: yes
tamara n: PBR, VALE, CIG if there is time. I must leave and will listen to the recrding later. Thank you so much Rod.
Bill G: Currently appears the 50 day ma is providing resistance for those that trade that way
M K: MNST the chart just screams institutional accumulation
M K: exactly
M K: but they need 2-3qs of bad new
M K: s
M K: you see the lumber XHB divergence?
Mark : merci beaucoup
charles : tks

Posted in S&P

Saturday Review begins at 9:30am

By Rod David | April 25, 2015 - 8:47 am

Saturday Review begins at 9:30am ET (you can enter the room before then). We”ll discuss this week”s long-awaited new high, the unconfirmed breakout, and how the bigger picture might be affected. We”ll also game out strategies for Sunday night and Monday”s open, and review your stock chart analysis requests.
https://roddavid10.mitel-nhwc.com/join/shkphyy

Posted in S&P

The Universe, week of April 27 2015… Rotation in the sector?

By Rod David | April 24, 2015 - 11:06 pm

Note: I publish “The Universe” every weekend, updating my support and resistance calculations for Marijuana sector stocks. It is not a projection, but a handy reference… Non-Marijuana stocks are covered elsewhere during the week.]

Links to ||
Last week”s Universe || Prior week”s Universe || Previous week”s Universe ||

There was a drop in the number of stocks below their rolling four-week moving averages. Just a net of 3 stocks, which was diffused mostly to flat stocks than to uptrends. But when the darlings of last year”s round-one (e.g. EDXC, ERBB, FITX, MCIG, TAUG, TRTC) probe new lows, and the flagships (GWPH, INSY) fulfill long-term upside targets, deterioration elsewhere would not have been inappropriate. But continuing the sector improvement into next week would help to confirm whether recent performers (e.g. CARA, CNAB, OSLH, PZOO, THCZ) may be the new leadership. And not a moment too soon..

Marijuana Stock Universe for April 27 2015
Reference this table during stock reactions
4-week # up: 15 14.85%
trends* # flat: 22 21.78%
# down: 64 63.37%
*The percentages of stocks rising or falling over 4 weeks.
symbol support resistance 4-week trend
ACGX 0.000 0.003 flat
AERO 2.310 4.030 down
AGTK 0.015 0.040 down
AMMJ 0.360 0.570 down
ARNA 3.800 5.030 flat
ATTBF 0.093 0.175 flat
AVTC 0.690 0.990 down
AXXU 0.066 0.377 down
BLOZF 0.280 0.570 up
BLPG 0.120 0.370 down
BNRDF 0.605 0.795 flat
BRDT 0.032 0.094 down
BTFL 0.071 0.232 down
CANL 0.770 1.090 down
CANN 1.690 4.600 down
CANV 1.810 2.410 down
CARA 11.850 14.400 up
CBDS 1.830 5.630 down
CBGI 0.002 0.015 down
CBIS 0.034 0.050 down
CGRW 0.360 0.750 flat
CHUM n/a n/a down
CNAB 0.670 0.990 flat
DEWM 0.004 0.011 up
DIGP 0.035 0.100 up
DSCR 0.000 0.025 down
EAPH 0.013 0.028 flat
EDXC 0.019 0.047 down
ENDO 0.014 0.031 down
ENRT 0.032 0.050 down
ERBB 0.006 0.010 down
ETST n/a n/a flat
EXMT 0.000 0.004 down
FITX 0.005 0.012 down
CAFS 0.025 0.066 up
FSPM 0.000 0.250 down
FULL 3.550 4.140 down
FWDG 0.002 0.006 down
GBLX 0.126 0.338 down
GRCU 0.000 0.004 down
GRNH 0.055 0.098 down
GWPH 114.250 123.330 up
HEMP 0.016 0.025 down
ICBU 0.002 0.011 down
IGRW 0.002 0.004 flat
IMLFF 0.175 0.275 flat
INCC 0.001 0.007 flat
INSY 56.250 65.200 up
ITNS 0.006 0.011 down
LATF 0.001 0.003 down
LXRP 0.060 0.129 up
MCIG 0.068 0.105 down
MCPI n/a n/a flat
MDBX 0.950 2.270 down
MDCN 0.005 0.022 flat
MDRM 0.016 0.038 down
MINE 0.003 0.007 down
MJMD 0.000 0.015 down
MJMJ 0.020 0.499 down
MJNA 0.080 0.011 down
MNTR 0.507 0.928 down
MYEC 0.012 0.027 down
MYHI 0.120 0.330 up
NDEV 0.113 0.260 down
NRTI 0.005 0.019 down
NTRR 0.045 0.110 flat
OGRMF 0.304 0.615 down
OSLH 0.006 0.015 up
OXIS 0.336 0.044 up
PHOT 0.019 0.065 down
PLPL 0.220 0.315 down
PMCB 0.140 0.215 flat
PNTV n/a n/a down
PZOO 0.011 0.025 up
QEDN 0.095 0.007 down
REDG 0.000 0.003 flat
RFMK 0.000 0.002 down
RSSFF 0.069 0.266 flat
SING 0.008 0.016 flat
SKTO 0.000 0.004 down
SPRWF 0.141 0.230 down
SRNA 0.105 0.165 down
STEV 0.071 0.100 flat
TAUG 0.054 0.079 down
THCZ 0.177 0.273 up
TRTC 0.090 0.215 down
TURV 0.410 0.775 flat
TWMJF 1.420 1.860 flat
UPOT 0.150 0.550 down
USEI 0.000 0.003 down
UTRM 0.000 0.000 down
VAPE 0.360 0.613 down
VAPR 0.030 0.090 down
VGPR 0.000 0.002 down
VHUB 0.019 0.040 down
VPCO 0.594 0.970 down
VPOR 0.000 0.003 down
WDHR 0.000 0.002 down
WOGI 0.004 0.009 up
XTRM 0.004 0.007 up
XXII 1.010 1.560 flat
Posted in Bigger Picture

Morning bias

By Rod David | April 24, 2015 - 4:29 pm
MON morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 2120.25 2113.75
…would target 2126.25 2119.75
Bias-down: under 2111.75 2105.25
…would target 2105.50 2099.00
Signal status: BIAS-UP, BIAS-UP TARGET MET FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the bias environment”s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don”t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it”s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

Posted in Bias-parameters, S&P