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Bias-parameters – Page 497 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-parameters

Afternoon bias

[pay]

TUE afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1838.00 1832.50
…would target 1842.75 1837.25
Bias-down: under 1833.25 1827.75
…would target 1827.75 1822.25
Signal status: BIAS-UP FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

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Morning bias

TUE morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1842.50 1837.25
…would target 1848.00 1842.75
Bias-down: under 1833.00 1827.75
…would target 1827.50 1822.25
Signal status: LATE NO-BIAS, TESTED BOTH BIAS-UP PARAMETERS FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

Upward bias should eventually mean… up.

Still testing yesterday’s lows.

[pay]The noon hour’s fresh high fulfilled the bounce’s 1840.50 objective. And then retraced the entire bounce — at least, back to within 1 point of its 1833.75 low.

There has been no lower low since the 1:20 bias timing window triggered no-bias. That’s not proof of the bullish WedEX influence, but neither does it undermine the signal. Bouncing back above 1838.00 and extending to fresh session highs would be appropriate.

Oversold RSIs at the 1834.75 low require its retest eventually. Testing it by 2-3 ticks briefly would not invalidate the WedEX. But trending lower with any complexity would become much likelier to trend down through the close.

[/pay]

Afternoon bias

[pay]

FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1846.50 1841.00
…would target 1851.75 1846.25
Bias-down: under 1838.50 1833.00
…would target 1832.50 1827.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

[/pay]

Morning bias

[pay]

FRI morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1846.50 1841.00
…would target 1851.50 1846.25
Bias-down: under 1838.25 1833.00
…would target 1832.50 1827.00
Signal status: NO-BIAS, TESTED BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

[/pay]