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Bias-parameters – Page 510 – If, Then… Market Timing

Bias-parameters

Afternoon bias

[pay]

MON afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1812.75 1812.00
…would target 1817.50 1817.00
Bias-down: under 1805.75 1805.25
…would target 1800.25 1799.50
Signal status: NO-BIAS FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

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BIAS-UP… INVALIDATED

The margin shrinks, and shrinks, and…

[pay]This morning’s 1808.00 bias-up signal was exceeded through 10:15. Barely exceeded, despite having touched 1811.50. But that still qualified to trigger bias-up.

Then 1808.00 failed to hold as support through 10:30. Bias-up is invalidated. Its target is not in-play. A a sell signal targeting 1805.50-1806.25 triggered during the reaction down. But there is no bias influence this morning.

Exiting the bias environment at 11:30 back above 1808.00 would essentially reinstate the bias-up. Recovering 1809.25 would signal momentum is reversing up. Otherwise, back under 1805.50 would more likely trend down.

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Morning bias

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MON morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1808.50 1808.00
…would target 1814.25 1813.75
Bias-down: under 1800.00 1799.50
…would target 1792.75 1792.25
Signal status: BIAS-UP INVALIDATED FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

[/pay]

Afternoon bias

[pay]

FRI afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1803.50 1802.75
…would target 1807.50 1807.00
Bias-down: under 1798.00 1797.50
…would target 1793.00 1792.25
Signal status: BIAS-UP FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

[/pay]

Morning bias

[pay]

FRI morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) SPX ES
Bias-up: above 1791.75 1791.00
…would target 1796.75 1796.00
Bias-down: under 1779.25 1778.50
…would target 1773.75 1773.00
Signal status: BIAS-UP, BIAS-UP TARGET EXCEEDED FAQ
INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2

1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.

[/pay]