Bias-parameters
Afternoon bias
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| THU afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) | SPX | ES |
| Bias-up: above | 1791.25 | 1790.25 |
| …would target | 1798.25 | 1797.50 |
| Bias-down: under | 1784.00 | 1783.25 |
| …would target | 1779.00 | 1778.00 |
| Signal status: no-bias | FAQ | |
| INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2 | ||
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.
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Morning bias
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| THU morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) | SPX | ES |
| Bias-up: above | 1798.50 | 1797.50 |
| …would target | 1803.50 | 1802.75 |
| Bias-down: under | 1788.25 | 1787.50 |
| …would target | 1782.25 | 1781.25 |
| Signal status: waiting for trigger | FAQ | |
| INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2 | ||
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.
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Afternoon bias
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| WED afternoon signal (triggered at 1:20 ET) | SPX | ES |
| Bias-up: above | 1798.50 | 1797.50 |
| …would target | 1803.75 | 1802.75 |
| Bias-down: under | 1791.25 | 1790.25 |
| …would target | 1786.00 | 1785.00 |
| Signal status: BIAS-DOWN | FAQ | |
| INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2 | ||
1. At 1:20, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 1:20 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 1:20 would invoke a grace period through 1:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 1:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.
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Morning bias
[pay]
| WED morning signal (triggered at 10:15 ET) | SPX | ES |
| Bias-up: above | 1797.25 | 1796.00 |
| …would target | 1804.25 | 1803.00 |
| Bias-down: under | 1789.50 | 1788.25 |
| …would target | 1783.50 | 1782.25 |
| Signal status: LATE BIAS-UP, TESTED BIAS-DOWN SIGNAL | FAQ | |
| INTRO VIDEOS #1 and #2 | ||
1. At 10:15, trading above the bias-up signal or under the bias-down signal would put into play a test of its bias-up or bias-down target.
2. Not triggering either bias signal at 10:15 would be “no-bias,” and the bias signals should define the morning’s range.
— A test of the opposite bias signal would be targeted if one bias signal was tested before triggering no-bias.
3. Touching the bias signal within 3 minutes either way of 10:15 would invoke a grace period through 10:30 to trigger a late signal.
— “Late” signals don’t require testing the opposite bias signal, but it’s still likely.
4. Still testing the bias signal at 10:30 after invoking the grace period would trigger “noN-bias,” with no bias influence.
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LATE BIAS-DOWN
Shallow noon hour bounce gives way to another low.
[pay]A bounce into the noon hour peaked upon testing 1793.00. Any higher would have triggered a bigger corrective bounce. Back under 1791.25 would signal the bounce had ended.
The bounce ended. Did the drop end, too?
1791.25 and 1793.00 each held two more touches before finally breaking the lower-end. The lower-end’s break didn’t delay extending down to 1787.50. Unlike the morning’s 1789.00 low, only one RSI is oversold.
The 1790.25 bias-down signal was still being touched at 1:20, so its eventual break is a late signal.
So, both RSIs aren’t oversold at the new low, and since the bias-down signal triggered late. Exiting the bias environment back above the noon hour’s 1793.00 test would signal that momentum was reversing up. No “unfinished business below” would be left outstanding.
Otherwise, the trend remains down, next targeting 1785.50, and probably also 1780.00.
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