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Rod David – Page 1551 – If, Then… Market Timing

Posts by Rod David

Post-open Review… Another delay.

Overnight rally slides into and out of the open.

Fresh highs were probed up to 2095.00, which is 1 point above this morning’s bias-up signal. But the open was greeted at 2091.00, and its break has extended down to 2083.25. That’s more than 1 point under the bias-down signal.

The 2084.50 bias-down signal was still being overlapped at 10:15 to invoke the grace period. It’s being somewhat recovered at 10:30.

This is a “late no-bias” environment. An offsetting test of the 2094.00 bias-up signal is in-play.  Late signals are less reliable, and I wasn’t bearish coming into the session, but I would be much more bullish back above 2090.00.

Pre-market Tour (recording & summary)

The overnight recovery extended a little higher to 2095.00. That’s now reacting down to 2092.00. Just printing above 2094.00 would make the overnight rally likely to extend higher intraday. But I would still be on guard for another detour down — because 2094.00 is also the bias-up signal, and holding its test without triggering it would put into play an offsetting test of the 2084.50 bias-down signal.

Details and other markets coverage are discussed in the pre-market Tour recording here:
https://roddavid10.mitel-nhwc.com/join/pcrtctb

The First Trade… Back to business.

Proper context can start the day with a solid win and make all the difference.

CHARTROOM LINK(s)
THANKS TO ALL WHO HELPED TEST OMNIJOIN
o Win XP-Friendly entry
o non-xp friendly (ilinc)
(pre-open Market Tour begins at 8:55 ET)

Through the prior close…
The traditional post-Thanksgiving early close started by dipping. But holding the 2084.50 bias-down signal’s test put into play an offsetting test of the 2090.00 bias-up signal. The upside objective was fulfilled, but only probed briefly, as volume was evaporating into the early close.

Overnight action’s new info…
Sunday night’s open dipped initially to attack 2084.50. Extremely narrow ranging broke lower at Europe’s opens to attack 2082.00. That was recovered almost as quickly on Chinese intervention, and then some, back up through Friday’s high to 2092.00. that extended to a fresh high attacking 2094.00. Its reaction is attacking 2090.o0 as support.

If, then…
Last week was greeted by the vulnerability to a correction, based on upside objectives being met and timing ahead of the holiday. A correction did develop, both by price dipping and by not yet resuming the rally. Timing and price influences are no longer corrective — at least, the door is open to resuming the rally, which doesn’t require anymore delay or backing-and-filling.

First Trade…
Exiting the open at 9:45 under 2091.00 would be unlikely to trigger the 2094.00 bias-up signal at 10:15. Exiting the open above 2094.75 would be likely tor trigger the 2094.00 bias-up signal at 10:15.

New chaRTroom environment! MUST READ

 Click here to monitor tonight’s Globex through our new chaRTroom software from OmniJoin. There’s a file to download like our previous room, and great stability.

Try it, from any and all devices — PC, Android, iPhone, toaster. Then please describe your experience in this post’s comments section in the blog.

We began testing OmniJoin last week, and this week we’ll start migrating to it if you don’t encounter any difficulty. The other platforms will remain available intraday for a short while.

This single replacement satisfies all of our needs, including:
o All devices accessible
o Public chat with font sizer
o MP4 recording (iPad friendly)
o Super-fast recording availability
o 24-hour connectivity
o Cloaked attendance
o WinXP compatible
o Static login link
o and more.

So, please be sure that you’ve tried logging in, and that you can easily see the charts by clicking here.

Thanks for your assistance!

The Universe, week of Nov 30, 2015…

[Note: I publish “The Universe” every weekend, updating my support and resistance calculations for Marijuana sector stocks. It is not a projection, but a handy reference… Non-Marijuana stocks are covered elsewhere during the week.]

By now, you’re almost finished digesting Thanksgiving dinner, and less than three weeks away from finishing its leftovers. You’re also five weeks away from locking in any gains and losses for 2015 tax year purposes. Don’t hesitate to get a professional tax adviser’s input, and also get my current opinion of any stock’s outlook.

Here are several of my latest stock opinions:

AMMJ forming a bullish Cup & Handle pattern, CANV has been a total flop, INSY volume pattern is bullish, LXRP is still basing, TAUG seems to have begun its next downleg, XXII may be ending its consolidation.

Marijuana Stock Universe for November 30, 2015
Reference this table during stock reactions
4-week # up: 12 12.00%
trends* # flat: 12 12.00%
# down: 76 76.00%
*The percentages of stocks rising or falling over 4 weeks.
symbol support resistance 4-week trend
ACGX 0.000 0.003 down
AERO 1.000 1.950 down
AGTK 0.000 0.004 down
AMMJ 0.070 0.150 down
ARNA 1.650 2.200 down
ATTBF 0.035 0.075 flat
BLOZF 0.130 0.240 down
BLPG 0.015 0.086 down
BRDT 0.012 0.031 down
BTFL 0.002 0.003 down
CAFS 0.001 0.011 down
CANL 0.250 0.500 down
CANN 0.350 0.770 down
CANV 0.290 0.750 down
CARA 14.250 18.870 up
CBDS 0.510 1.850 down
CBGI 0.000 0.005 down
CBIS 0.020 0.041 flat
CGRW 0.360 0.610 flat
CHUM n/a n/a down
CNAB 0.150 0.330 down
DEWM 0.002 0.004 up
DIGP 0.170 0.400 down
DSCR 0.000 0.025 down
EAPH 0.005 0.013 down
EDXC 0.007 0.019 down
ENCC n/a n/a down
ENDO 0.006 0.018 down
ENRT 0.020 0.032 flat
ERBB 0.002 0.004 flat
ETST n/a n/a flat
EXMT 0.000 0.004 up
FITX 0.004 0.078 up
FSPM 0.000 0.250 down
FULL 2.800 3.140 down
FWDG 0.000 0.002 down
GBLX 0.210 0.320 down
GRCU 0.000 0.004 flat
GRNH 0.015 0.037 down
GWPH 71.600 86.400 down
HEMP 0.050 0.107 down
ICBU 0.000 0.003 down
IGRW 0.000 0.002 down
IMLFF 0.100 0.180 down
INCC 0.000 0.002 down
INSY 26.400 34.950 up
ITNS 0.001 0.005 down
KAYS 0.067 0.187 flat
LATF 0.000 0.001 down
LXRP 0.180 0.280 up
MCIG 0.017 0.030 down
MDBX 0.040 0.070 down
MDCN 0.000 0.001 down
MDRM 0.008 0.025 flat
MINE 0.000 0.002 down
MJMD 0.000 0.015 down
MJMJ 0.000 0.001 down
MJNA 0.036 0.048 up
MNTR 0.310 0.620 down
MSRT 0.830 1.410 down
MYEC 0.014 0.021 up
MYHI 0.013 0.100 down
NDEV 0.016 0.053 down
NMUS 0.218 1.215 down
NRTI 0.000 0.002 down
NTRR 0.500 1.400 down
OGRMF 0.510 0.920 up
OSLH 0.000 0.001 down
OXIS 0.009 0.019 down
PHOT 0.010 0.030 down
PLPL 0.053 0.121 down
PMCB 0.080 0.110 flat
PNTV 0.001 0.007 down
PZOO 0.001 0.005 down
QEDN 0.000 0.003 down
REDG 0.000 0.003 down
RFMK 0.000 0.002 down
RMHB 0.040 0.088 down
RSSFF 0.030 0.100 down
SING 0.005 0.012 down
SKTO 0.000 0.004 down
SPRWF 0.135 0.205 up
SRNA 0.074 0.120 down
STEV 0.033 0.041 down
TAUG 0.001 0.004 down
TRTC 0.082 0.118 down
TURV 0.463 0.770 down
TWMJF 1.800 2.400 up
UPOT 0.090 0.290 flat
USEI 0.000 0.003 down
VAPE 0.001 0.038 down
VAPR 0.000 0.050 down
VGPR 0.000 0.002 down
VHUB 0.025 0.048 down
VPCO 0.170 0.550 down
VPOR 0.000 0.001 down
WDHR 0.000 0.002 down
WOGI 0.002 0.008 down
XTRM 0.001 0.004 flat
XXII 1.300 1.850 up